Biden Feeling The Heat, Warren Keeps Climbing, Sanders Future Uncertain

WEEKLY SNAPSHOT

It's been an eventful week for the main Democratic presidential candidates. Bernie Sanders had a heart attack, Joe Biden's fundraising has fallen way off, and Elizabeth Warren had to fire a top campaign aide for "inappropriate behavior". 

 

Of course, most of that news -- even Sanders' heart attack -- has been pushed back or all but overlooked as the news cycle has been dominated with the ongoing impeachment investigations into President Donald Trump. 

 

UPDATED NATIONAL RANKINGS
 

Biden remains the frontrunner, but his lead over Warren is now just barely five points, while Sanders continues to fall slowly backwards. How his recent heart attacks plays into this support will be something to watch in the next week or two. Of note this week is that Cory Booker has fallen out of the second-tier, with his average failing to break the 2% level.

 

The Top Three

• Biden -- 27.2 % (down 0.6 %)
• Warren -- 21.8 % (up 2 %)
• Sanders -- 16.2 % (down 0.5 %)
   

The Rest Of The Pack

• Buttigieg -- 5.4 % (up 0.1 %)
• Harris -- 5.1 % (down 0.1 %)
• Yang -- 3 % (up 0.4 %)
• O'Rourke -- 2.3 % (down 0.1 %)

Outside The Polling

 

All of the other announced candidates were below 2% or did not show in the national polling from the aggregate of the past ten national polls.

 

NEW STATE POLLS 

Our State Polling page breaks down the states into two relevant sections: the first four caucuses and primaries in February, and the then the "Super Tuesday" primary on March 3rd. We are tracking the other states, but are focusing on the first two groups for the time being.

Of the "first four", we have new polls in New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina. Biden hold the lead in all three states, but only in South Carolina is he dominant. In New Hampshire, he and Warren are within the margin-of-error, and in Nevada, it's a three-way race between the top three. 

As for the "Super Tuesday" states, we have new polls from California -- where it's a virtual tie between the top three -- and North Carolina -- where Biden maintains a commanding lead.