The Race Is Still Joe Biden's To Lose

WEEKLY SNAPSHOT

The next debate is this Thursday (maybe) and is scheduled to have Joe Biden, South Bend, Pete Buttigieg, Amy Klobuchar, Bernie Sanders, Tom Steyer, Elizabeth Warren, and Andrew Yang on stage. 

 

Will any of the candidates make any dents in Joe Biden's lead? Will Elizabeth Warren and Pete Buttigieg pull out the knives on each other? Can Bernie Sanders keep being Bernie Sanders? And more importantly, will anyone pay attention?
 

UPDATED NATIONAL RANKINGS

Four new national polls this week, which has Biden stable, Warren rising a bit, Michael Bloomberg making a minor move, and Corey Booker rejoining the 2% crowd.

 

• Biden -- 26.4%
• Sanders -- 16.5%
• Warren -- 15.2%
• Buttigieg -- 9.5% 
• Bloomberg -- 4.4% 
• Yang -- 3% 
• Klobuchar -- 2.5%
• Booker -- 2%
   

All of the other announced candidates were below 2% or did not show in the national polling from the aggregate of the past ten national polls.

NEW STATE POLLS 

Our State Polling page breaks down the states into two relevant sections: the first four caucuses and primaries in February, and the then the "Super Tuesday" primary on March 3rd. We are tracking the other states, but are focusing on the first two groups for the time being.

New polls this week from Iowa, New Hampshire, and two from South Carolina. Here are the current rankings from each of the first four states:

 

Iowa (February 3)

• Buttigieg -- 21.4%
• Warren -- 17.6%
• Sanders -- 17.2%
• Biden -- 16.8%

New Hampshire (February 11)

• Buttigieg -- 18.8%
• Warren -- 17.2%
• Sanders -- 17.2%
• Biden -- 16%

Nevada (February 22)

• Biden -- 25.6%
• Warren -- 19.2%
• Sanders -- 18.4%
• Buttigieg -- 5.4%

South Carolina (February 29)

• Biden -- 36%
• Warren -- 13.8%
• Sanders -- 13.8%
• Buttigieg -- 7.2%

And in the Super Tuesday states, we have new polls from California (where we have a statistical tie between Sanders, Warren, and Biden), and Texas (where Biden holds a very comfortable lead).