Saturday, December 7, 2019

Warren Falters, Buttigieg Rises, Harris Drops Out, Bloomberg Cracks 3%



WEEKLY SNAPSHOT

December is traditionally a slow period for national politics. Congress is generally out of session for much of the month, voters are focused on holidays and weather, and the White House usually schedules feel good photo ops and such.
 
So much for tradition. 
 
The House is grappling with what the final form of their articles of impeachment against President Trump will look like. The Senate is hunkering down for an impeachment trial that the majority of Senators want nothing to do with. The White House is in a near total frenzy, which has been complicated by foreign issues ranging from nuclear saber rattling to schoolyard ridicule.
 
Oh, and there's another Democratic debate this month, a once-major candidate has dropped out, and the newest kid in the playground is spending an amazing amount of money to connect with just over three percent of the electorate, a once-near-the-front-runner has dropped into third place, a long-shot candidate has moved up enough to earn the ire and enmity of a major progressive website, and the longtime front runner has decided a phrase that was popular many (many) decades ago would be a great campaign slogan.
 
That said, did anyone expect anything different with this election campaign?
 
UPDATED NATIONAL RANKINGS

Four new national polls this week, in which we lost Kamala Harris from the race and welcome Michael Bloomberg into the "above 2%" family, leaving us with seven candidates polling above the threshold this week.
 
  • Biden -- 26.4%
  • Sanders -- 16.2%
  • Warren -- 13.9%
  • Buttigieg -- 10.3% 
  • Bloomberg -- 3.2% 
  • Yang -- 3.2% 
  • Klobuchar -- 2.4%

All of the other announced candidates were below 2% or did not show in the national polling from the aggregate of the past ten national polls.

NEW STATE POLLS 

Our State Polling page breaks down the states into two relevant sections: the first four caucuses and primaries in February, and the then the "Super Tuesday" primary on March 3rd. We are tracking the other states, but are focusing on the first two groups for the time being.
 
What with the previous week being a holiday week, we have only poll to pass along. This one comes from California where the top three candidates remain in a virtual tie. 

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