STATE POLLING
New polls today from Pennsylvania (Clinton +3), Georgia (Trump +7), New Hampshire (Clinton +7), Michigan (Clinton +6), and Florida (Clinton +2).
One week from today, the polls will be open, Election Day will be upon us, and then we can finally put all this behind us. Okay, so maybe the third part is just wishful thinking...one gets the feeling that this election season may last a bit longer than normal. We'll wait and see.
As it stands, it's a week out from Election Day and Hillary Clinton is sitting in about as positive a position a candidate can be in such an intensely partisan and politically polarized country as we have now. She has to be a bit concerned about her numbers dropping some in Pennsylvania, and I'm sure she'd love to be further ahead in Florida, but she can afford to be confidant moving into the final week of campaigning.
Trump, on the other hand, is not in a very enviable position. He appears to be keeping Georgia red, which is the good news for the day, but it also appears that his hopes that the latest email kerfluffle would be the "October Surprise" that would vault him into the White House are being a bit dashed. There has been a bit of tightening in some of the swing state polls, but not enough to flip anything in a major way, at least not yet.
We'll see over the next two days as the email story plays out whether or not there is any appreciable effect on the polling. However, I would be quite surprised to see much of a change, considering how few undecideds are actually left by this point.
No changes to the map today. Currently, Clinton has a projected overall lead of 322 to 216. Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
Likely Republican
Missouri: Trump up by 6.8%
Nebraska (CD2): Trump up by 6%
Texas: Trump up by 5.3%
Alaska: Trump up by 4.1%
Leaning Republican
Maine (CD2): Trump up by 3.3%
Utah: Trump up by 3%
Georgia: Trump up by 3%
Iowa: Trump up by 2.4%
Ohio: Trump up by 0.6%
Arizona: Trump up by 0.3%
Leaning Democrat
Nevada: Clinton up by 1.6%
Florida: Clinton up by 1.8%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 3.1%
Likely Democrat
Colorado: Clinton up by 4.5%
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 5.2%
Michigan: Clinton up by 5.8%
New Mexico: Clinton up by 5.8%
Wisconsin: Clinton up by 6%
Minnesota: Clinton up by 6.2%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 6.2%
Here are the State Polling Averages for all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
NATIONAL POLLING
New polls today from NBC News (Clinton +6) and Morning Consult (Clinton +3).
The current cumulative polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 5%.
TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES
Associated Press -- Obama caught in middle of unseemly spat over Clinton emails
The latest clamor over Hillary Clinton's emails has put Barack Obama in a spot where no president wants to be: caught between his attorney general, his FBI director and his preferred White House successor.
CNN -- Clinton camp: The cake's already baked
Hillary Clinton's campaign is insisting it can't be thrown off course in the final week of the presidential race -- because it's already running on auto-pilot.
Fox News -- Trump warns Clinton election would trigger ‘crisis’ amid email probe
Donald Trump amplified warnings Monday that Hillary Clinton is “unfit” for office -- and claimed her election would mire the country in a “constitutional crisis” -- as he fought to gain an advantage after the discovery of new emails kick-started the FBI’s dormant Clinton server investigation.
Politico -- Democrats' retort to FBI: What about Trump and Russia?
Amid a potentially lethal frenzy about renewed FBI activity related to Hillary Clinton's email, the Clinton campaign and its Democratic allies worked furiously on Monday to change the subject to FBI interest in Donald Trump's ties to Russia.
The Hill -- Trump used 'legally dubious' method to avoid paying taxes
New documents found that GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump used a legally questionable tactic to avoid paying federal income taxes in the early 1990s, according to the New York Times.
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