STATE POLLING
New polls today from Nevada (Clinton +2) and Georgia (even).
Another day, another map change. While the polling in Nevada doesn't move the needle much (it's still a 50/50 proposition at the political craps table there), the latest poll from Georgia shows the Peach State is very much up-for-grabs, to the point where Trump's once solid lead is now down to a statistical tie. Much has already been written about this, but it bears repeating that a Republican campaign playing defense in Georgia is never a good sign for the GOP.
With the change of Georgia's status, from "leaning Republican" to "too close to call", Clinton now has a projected overall electoral lead of 334 to 176 over Trump with 28 too close to call. Her "safe" electoral lead remains unchanged at 256 to 139.
Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
Leaning Republican
South Carolina: Trump up by 5.8%
Utah: Trump up by 4.3%
Missouri: Trump up by 4.2%
Arizona: Trump up by 1.6%
Maine (CD2): Trump up by 1%
Virtually Tied
Georgia: Trump up by 0.6%
Iowa: Clinton up by 0.4%
Nevada: Clinton up by 0.7%
Leaning Democrat
Ohio: Clinton up by 2.1%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 3.2%
Florida: Clinton up by 4.3%
New Mexico: Clinton up by 4.5%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 5.1%
Connecticut: Clinton up by 5.8%
NATIONAL POLLING
Three new polls today, from Reuters/Ipsos (Clinton +4), Rasmussen (Clinton +2), and Pew Research (Clinton +4). All three polls show the national race tightening up from Clinton's post-convention high of two weeks ago, mostly due to the increase on the popularity of Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson.
The former Republican Governor needs to poll 15% or better to get a podium on the debate stage, which he's not doing at this time, but he's seeing his numbers slowly creep up. His current composite polling average is 8.7%, trending slowly upwards.
The question is, will he be able to siphon enough support away from Clinton and Trump to reach the 15% threshold? If he does, the debates became, if possible, even more interesting. And we were already expecting them to be the most interesting debates in years.
The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 5.5%, trending downwards.
TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES
Trump: 'I Will Always Tell You The Truth'
(CNN) -- Donald Trump on Thursday shelved his guiding mantra -- never back down, never apologize -- and did what he has refused to do in public in more than a year of campaigning.
He expressed regret.
Trump, reading from prepared remarks Thursday night, acknowledged that he sometimes says "the wrong thing" in an astonishing act of contrition that signaled Trump's willingness to break from his characteristic brashness and bare-knuckles style that carried him to victory in the Republican primaries, but risks dooming him in the general election.
"Sometimes, in the heat of debate and speaking on a multitude of issues, you don't choose the right words or you say the wrong thing. I have done that. And believe it or not, I regret it. And I do regret it, particularly where it may have caused personal pain. Too much is at stake for us to be consumed with these issues," Trump told supporters here. "But one thing I can promise you is this: I will always tell you the truth."
Clinton Campaign Goes Nuclear On Health Rumors
(Politico) -- Hillary Clinton’s campaign is pushing back even harder Thursday on multiple “deranged conspiracy theories” about her health, as one top aide put it earlier in the week, as Donald Trump continues to stoke doubts about the Democratic nominee’s “mental and physical stamina.”
As news broke Wednesday about the shakeup in Trump’s campaign, including the hiring of Stephen Bannon from Breitbart as its chief executive and the promotion of pollster Kellyanne Conway to campaign manager, the Drudge Report blared a report about — pillows. Not just any pillows, but cushions that, as a link to the Tuesday article from the right-leaning Heat Street stated, “propped up” the former secretary of state while she recorded a podcast for her campaign.
The same piece went on to show Clinton seated on various other pillows in public appearances. “The pillows provide much needed support,” the article concluded, without making any explicit inferences about Clinton’s health or recently circulated documents purporting to be from the Democratic nominee’s doctor showing her in dire condition. (Factheck.org has debunked the documents as fake.)
House Republicans Prep Tough Perjury Case Against Clinton
(The Hill) -- House Republicans are doubling down in their effort to bring perjury charges against Hillary Clinton over her testimony last year to the House Select Committee on Benghazi.
GOP lawmakers have claimed that the Democratic presidential nominee broke the law by lying under oath about her private email setup during her marathon appearance in October.
Next month, Republicans on the House Judiciary Committee plan to make the issue a central part of a hearing with senior officials from the FBI, a committee aide said on Thursday.
Legally, the GOP faces a tough case. Politically, however, raising the perjury allegations would be a way to keep the issue of Clinton’s truthfulness in the public eye throughout the fall as she battles Republican nominee Donald Trump for the White House.
Clinton Foundation: No Foreign Donations If Hillary Becomes President
(ABC News) -- President Bill Clinton told staffers at the Clinton Foundation that the organization will no longer accepting money from foreign and corporate donors should Hillary Clinton win the presidency, reps for the foundation and former president told ABC News.
Clinton also told staff that the final Clinton Global Initiative meeting will be in New York in September regardless of the outcome of the election.
According to the reps, the Clinton Foundation, which has been the target of attacks from Republicans, would only accept contributions from U.S. citizens and independent charities going forward if Hillary Clinton wins.
The foundation has come under scrutiny for its donors and for whether or not the foundation had any influence over Hillary Clinton's term as secretary of state.
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