STATE POLLING
New polls today from Virginia (Clinton +12), Nevada (Clinton +2), and Arizona (Trump +2).
After a disastrous week, both with the news cycles and the national polls, the GOP cannot be happy with these numbers. Virginia is slipping away from them (it's still a "lean" state but close to moving out of toss-up status), and both Nevada and Arizona are states where Clinton could force the Trump campaign to play defense with their already limited amount of resources and little-to-no state level organization.
Currently, Clinton has a 250 to 148 "safe" electoral lead over Trump with a projected overall lead of 346 to 192. Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
Leaning Republican
Missouri: Trump up by 4.3%
Utah: Trump up by 3.1%
Arizona: Trump up by 1.8%
Maine (CD2): Trump up by 1%
Georgia: Trump up by 0.3%
Leaning Democrat
Nevada: Clinton up by 1%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 1.1%
Ohio: Clinton up by 1.6%
Iowa: Clinton up by 1.8%
Florida: Clinton up by 2.3%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 4.9%
New Mexico: Clinton up by 5%
Virginia: Clinton up by 5.5%
NATIONAL POLLING
Two new polls today, from Morning Consult (Clinton +8), and LA Times/USC (Clinton +1).
Since the end of the Democratic National Convention, every single poll has placed Clinton ahead of Trump, though the numbers have been all over the board, ranging from +1 to +14, with most placing her in the +6 to +8 range.
As it stands, the current composite polling average has Clinton leading nationally by 6.6%.
TOP POLITICAL STORIES
Trump to Propose Moratorium on New Financial Regulations
(Bloomberg) -- Donald Trump will propose a temporary moratorium on new financial regulations in an economic speech Monday in Detroit in an effort to draw a stark contrast with the domestic policies of Hillary Clinton, who he says “punishes” the American economy.
The Republican presidential nominee’s speech will focus on providing regulatory relief for small businesses, according to senior campaign aides familiar with its contents. More broadly, Trump will say he will not propose any new financial regulations until the economy shows “significant growth,” the aides said. Trump has previously said he would repeal and replace the 2010 Dodd-Frank Act.
Trump will also propose a repeal of the estate tax, sometimes called the “death tax.” Under current law, the 40 percent tax applies only to estates larger than $5.45 million for individuals and $10.9 million for couples.
Trump Fundraising Sets Off Clinton Camp Alarms
(Politico) -- Taken aback by the size of Donald Trump’s July fundraising haul, Hillary Clinton’s campaign is quickly working to beef up its efforts to raise campaign cash before the fall — sending the candidate, running mate Tim Kaine, and former President Bill Clinton on an all-out financial sprint through August while explicitly warning top fundraisers this week that they need to pick up the pace.
In an internal memo, first obtained by POLITICO, that will be circulated to high-level donors on Monday morning, campaign manager Robby Mook specifically writes that the Republican nominee’s July haul overshot the campaign’s expectations, necessitating a new wave of action.
“Donald Trump also had his best fundraising month of the campaign, raising $80 million,” explains Mook in the roughly 750-word missive — titled “Wake Up Call” — after trumpeting Clinton’s own $90 million haul between the campaign and other Democratic committees. “This was far more than anyone expected — and should be a wake-up call to all Hillary supporters. We must redouble our efforts in the coming weeks.
Kasich: It Will Be "Really, Really Difficult’ for Trump to Win Ohio
(Daily News) -- Ohio Gov. John Kasich on Sunday suggested he’s still not likely to vote for Donald Trump in November and warned that the GOP nominee would find it “really, really difficult” to win the critical Buckeye State.
Kasich, who has refused to endorse Trump and didn’t attend the Republican National Convention last month even though his state hosted it, said he can’t support any candidate that “operates the dark side of the street.”
Kasich added that Trump was bound to have a “really, really difficult” time winning Ohio, a key swing state with 18 electoral votes. “There will be sections he will win because people are angry, frustrated and haven't heard any answers,” he said. “But I still think it's difficult if you are dividing to be able to win Ohio. I think it's really, really difficult.”
Clinton Building Tech Edge on Trump
(The Hill) -- Hillary Clinton's campaign expects to have a significant technologic advantage over Donald Trump in targeting voters and luring them to the polls.
It’s an edge the Clinton campaign hopes it can use to find and then win over centrists and Republican voters as the Democratic nominee looks to build an edge on Trump.
Top Democrats familiar with Clinton’s campaign say her sophisticated voter mining operation will build upon President Obama operation.
“It’s the nerve center of the campaign,” said one Democrat with knowledge of the operation. “And a key source in decision making.”
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