STATE POLLING
New polls today from Virginia (Clinton +8), Missouri (Trump +9), Ohio (Trump +1), Maine (CD1 Clinton +22, CD2 Trump +14), and two from Colorado (Clinton +1 and Trump +4),
Good news today for Clinton in Virginia, where she's increasing her lead. As for the rest of today's polls, not so much...as Trump is taking Missouri out of play and putting Colorado very much back in play. The Clinton campaign decision to pull their advertising from Colorado a month ago, feeling like they had the state in the bag, appears to have been a rather optimistic decision.
Meanwhile, Ohio remains a veritable toss-up between the two, and will all but assuredly stay that way through Election Day, while Maine is looking very much like a split decision, with Trump taking one vote away. Though it appears possible that Clinton could snipe one of Nebraska's EV's, which would then cancel out the impact of the only two states to allocate their EV's by congressional district.
Map Update: With the race getting into its final stretch, we're expanding our map parameters. We will now be using three categories instead of just two: Leaning (up to 4%), Likely (4% to 7%), and Safe (7% and up).
Currently, Clinton has a projected overall Electoral College lead of 301 to 237.
Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
Likely Republican
Maine (CD2): Trump up by 6.9%
Texas: Trump up by 5.1%
Leaning Republican
Georgia: Trump up by 3.9%
Iowa: Trump up by 3.8%
Arizona: Trump up by 2%
North Carolina: Trump up by 1.8%
Ohio: Trump up by 1.8%
Nevada: Trump up by 1.2%
Leaning Democrat
Colorado: Clinton up by 0.5%
Florida: Clinton up by 0.6%
Likely Democrat
Wisconsin: Clinton up by 4%
New Mexico: Clinton up by 4.5%
Michigan: Clinton up by 4.9%
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 5.1%
Virginia: Clinton up by 5.6%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 5.9%
Minnesota: Clinton up by 6.2%
Here are the State Polling Averages for all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
NATIONAL POLLING
New polls today from Bloomberg (Trump +2) and Economist/YouGov (Clinton +3).
Bloomberg has Trump leading Clinton 43% to 41%, with Johnson at 8% and Stein at 4%, while Economist has Clinton leading Trump 44% to 41%, with Johnson at 5% and Stein at 2%.
The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 3.6%, trending downwards.
TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES
Apparently there's something over than Monday Night Football to watch on TV tonight...
Associated Press -- Debate Night: Clinton, Trump set for high-stakes showdown
After months of tangling from afar, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump will confront each other face-to-face for the first time in Monday night's presidential debate, laying out for voters their vastly different visions for America's future.
Buzzfeed -- Lester Holt Is At The Center Of The Great Fact-Checking Debate Of 2016
When moderator Lester Holt steps onto the Hofstra University debate stage on Monday night, he’ll find himself between two campaigns with opposing visions of his role — and at the center of a months-long media debate about fairness and truth in the 2016 election.
CNN -- 5 things to watch at Monday night's Clinton-Trump debate
Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump face off for the first time on the debate stage Monday night, the biggest moment of the already extraordinary 2016 presidential race.
Fox News -- Trump, Clinton meet with Netanyahu as presidential debate looms
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton met with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Sunday as the presidential candidates brush up on foreign policy hours before their debate.
Politico -- Clinton vs. Trump: The only 30 minutes that matter
Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump will debate for 90 minutes on Monday. But the winner likely will be determined in the first half-hour. That’s when Al Gore first sighed, Mitt Romney knocked President Obama on his heels, and Marco Rubio, earlier this year, glitched in repeating the same talking point — over and over and over.
The Hill -- Frenzy builds for epic debate
Buckle up: Debate day is finally here. The anticipation for Monday night’s face-off between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton has reached a fever pitch, with many expecting a defining moment in one of the wildest elections of modern times.
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