STATE POLLING
New polls today from Ohio (Trump +4), Florida (tie), two from North Carolina (Clinton +4, Trump +3), Pennsylvania (Clinton +5), Colorado (Clinton +5), and Oregon (Clinton +13).
Now that we are in the final two months of the campaign, most pollsters switch up their process by polling "likely voters" instead of just "registered voters". This can lead to some rather abrupt swings -- such as Trump turning Ohio around and pulling even in Florida -- as well as often wildly different results from the same state -- such as the seven point different in the two North Carolina polls today -- based on sampling and methodology.
Currently, with the change of Ohio's "lean" to Republican from Democrat, Clinton maintains a 200 to 155 "safe" electoral lead over Trump, while her projected overall lead drops to 322 to 216.
Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
Leaning Republican
South Carolina: Trump up by 5.6%
Maine (CD2): Trump up by 4%
Georgia: Trump up by 2.7%
Arizona: Trump up by 1.7%
Iowa: Trump up by 1.2%
Ohio: Trump up by 1%
Leaning Democrat
North Carolina: Clinton up by 1.9%
Florida: Clinton up by 2.1%
Michigan: Clinton up by 2.7%
Wisconsin: Clinton up by 3.2%
Nevada: Clinton up by 3.5%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 4.6%
Colorado: Clinton up by 5%
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 5.3%
Virginia: Clinton up by 5.6%
Here are the State Polling Averages for all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
NATIONAL POLLING
New poll today from Rasmussen Reports which has Clinton with a 4 point lead over Trump, 43% to 39%, with Johnson at 9% and Stein at 2%.
The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 2.2%, trending upward.
TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES
Associated Press -- Facebook co-founder pledging $20 million to defeat Trump
A billionaire Facebook co-founder says he is giving $20 million to help defeat Donald Trump. Dustin Moskovitz calls the Republican presidential candidate divisive and dangerous.
Buzzfeed -- Trump On Putin Praising Him: "I'll Take The Compliment"
During a foreign policy forum on Wednesday night, Donald Trump argued that Vladimir Putin has been a better leader than President Obama.
CNN -- Trump tells voters again he opposed the Iraq war -- but he didn't
Donald Trump on Thursday once again sought to convince the public that he opposed the Iraq War by pointing to statements he made after the US had already invaded the country.
Fox News -- Gary Johnson stumped on Syria question
Libertarian presidential candidate Gary Johnson admitted he “blanked” Thursday morning on a fundamental question about the Syrian civil war – a stumble that comes as he tries to make his case for being included in the upcoming presidential debates.
Politico -- Trump's shot at top brass rankles military circles
Donald Trump's broadside against the top military brass is drawing warnings of a crisis in civilian-military relations should he become commander in chief and begin bypassing generals and admirals now serving under President Barack Obama.
The Hill -- Giuliani says Trump now believes Obama was born in the US
Donald Trump no longer believes President Obama was born outside of the United States, ally Rudy Giuliani claimed Thursday. Giuliani, a former New York City mayor who has been advising the Trump campaign, said the Republican presidential nominee no longer questions Obama's citizenship.
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