STATE POLLING
Lots of new polls from the past two days: Colorado (Trump +4), Iowa (Trump +8), Michigan (Clinton +3), Ohio (Trump +3 and +5), Missouri (Trump +13), Virginia (Clinton +3), North Carolina (tie), Georgia (Trump +4 and +6), Texas (Trump +7), Arkansas (Trump +28), Florida (Trump +3), Nevada (Trump +2), and Massachusetts (Clinton +26).
With only two exceptions, this has been an excellent couple of days of polling for the Trump Campaign. He has increased his leads in Georgia, Iowa, Ohio and Florida, dramatically cut into Clinton's lead in Colorado, as well as moving Michigan and Virginia back onto the battleground map. And while the overall electoral map lead remains unchanged, the "safe lead" has dropped by 29 for Clinton.
In fact, the only two bright spots for the Clinton campaign are their strong lead in Massachusetts and the nearly inexplicable continued dropping of support for Trump in, of all places, Texas. His lead in the Lone State State, which Mitt Romney won in 2012 with a near 16% margin of victory, has dropped to just 7.2%. Still safely Republican, but something to keep an eye on.
What all of this means is that the first debate between Trump and Clinton will be even more crucial for both campaigns, and in fact could go a long way to deciding the election. One wonders just how many people will be tuning in on Monday the 26th to see the two finally face off head-to-head.
Currently, Clinton has a 220 to 156 "safe" electoral lead over Trump with a projected overall lead of 293 to 245. Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
Leaning Republican
South Carolina: Trump up by 5.3%
Georgia: Trump up by 3.8%
Iowa: Trump up by 3.1%
Arizona: Trump up by 2.3%
Ohio: Trump up by 1.8%
Florida: Trump up by 1.1%
Leaning Democrat
Colorado: Clinton up by 0.7%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 1.1%
Nevada: Clinton up by 1.9%
Wisconsin: Clinton up by 2.2%
Michigan: Clinton up by 4.4%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 5%
Virginia: Clinton up by 5.4%
Here are the State Polling Averages for all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
NATIONAL POLLING
New polls from Fox News, CBS News, Rasmussen, Quinnipiac, Reuters/Ipsos, and Economist/YouGov.
In the six polls, Clinton is ahead +2 in two, +1 in one, she and Trump are tied in two, and Trump is ahead +1 in one. And while Johnson is at 13% in the Quinnipaic poll, in the rest he is mired in the single digits and it is not looking likely at all that he will have a part in the upcoming debate.
The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 1.8%, trending downwards.
TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES
Associated Press -- Trump mum while campaign says he believes Obama born in US
Donald Trump himself won't say it, but his campaign is now declaring that the Republican presidential candidate believes now that President Barack Obama was born in the United States. And his campaign is cheering Trump for bringing an end to an "ugly incident" that it blames, without evidence, on Democratic opponent Hillary Clinton.
Buzzfeed -- Hillary Clinton Returns To The Campaign Trail After Illness
Hillary Clinton returned to the campaign trail Thursday after taking time off to recover from pneumonia. The Democratic presidential nominee began her return Thursday with a rally in Greensboro, North Carolina, where she criticized Republican rival Donald Trump and used her illness to illustrate the need for better healthcare in the US.
CNN -- 24 turbulent hours for Trump's children
As the campaign enters its final stretch, some of Donald Trump's children are showing signs of impatience and struggling to stay on message. In the past 24 hours, Ivanka Trump and Donald Trump Jr. have cut off interviews when pressed for answers on tough questions.
Fox News -- Trump, Clinton trade barbs over Obama 'birther' flap
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton traded barbs Thursday over the Republican nominee’s past suggestions that President Obama was born outside the U.S. and thus ineligible to be president, after Trump initially declined in an interview a day earlier to definitively say the president was born in America.
Politico -- Ryan suggests Trump should release tax returns
House Speaker Paul Ryan said Thursday he believes Donald Trump should release his tax returns, gently suggesting that the GOP nominee ought to divulge his personal finances as Ryan did when he ran for vice president.
The Hill -- Trump toughens anti-abortion stance
Donald Trump has recruited the influential anti-abortion leader Marjorie Dannenfelser to lead his campaign’s national “Pro-Life Coalition.” Not only that, but Trump has made a new policy promise that strengthens his anti-abortion position.
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