STATE POLLING
New polls today from Florida (Clinton +1), Georgia (Trump +3), Arizona (Trump +7), Colorado (Trump +3), Michigan (tied), Nevada (Trump +3), New Hampshire (Clinton +9), New Mexico (Trump +5), North Carolina (Clinton +2), Ohio (Clinton +3), Oregon (Clinton +3), Pennsylvania (Clinton +2), South Carolina (Trump +8), Wisconsin (Clinton +3).
Another big batch of polls from the battleground states (including some hadn't been considered battlegrounds until recently) that has changed up our prediction map. Again. The main changes are Ohio flipping from leaning Republican to leaning Democrat, New Hampshire moving to solid Democrat, and New Mexico dropping into leaning Democrat.
With the changes, Clinton now has a 248 to 156 "safe" electoral lead over Trump with a projected overall lead of 311 to 227. And while this marks her return to 300+ territory, it needs to be noted that in five of the states where she is ahead, her lead is less than 2%. To say polling is volatile right now would be a bit of an understatement.
Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
Leaning Republican
South Carolina: Trump up by 5.5%
Georgia: Trump up by 4.1
Arizona: Trump up by 3.4%
Iowa: Trump up by 3.1%
Florida: Trump up by 1.1%
Leaning Democrat
Nevada: Clinton up by 0.9%
Ohio: Clinton up by 1%
Colorado: Clinton up by 1%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 1%
Wisconsin: Clinton up by 1.3%
Michigan: Clinton up by 3.7%
New Mexico: Clinton up by 4.7%
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 5.5%
Here are the State Polling Averages for all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
NATIONAL POLLING
No new national polls today.
The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 1.6%.
TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES
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Donald Trump is performing about as well with Hispanic voters as GOP nominee Mitt Romney did in 2012, according to opinion polls — something that unsettles Democrats and surprises even some Republicans. Skeptics had suggested that Trump would suffer a blowout among Hispanics, given that his rhetoric, on illegal immigration in particular, has been controversial.
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