Thursday, September 29, 2016

39 Days Till Election Day: New polls from Michigan, Washington, Nerbraska

STATE POLLING

New polls today from Michigan (Clinton +5), Washington (Clinton +6), Nebraska (Trump +27), and Nebraska CD2 (Trump +9).

A relatively slow polling day today. Michigan remains competitive, Washington appears to be an outlier (that's about half the polling lead of the five previous polls in a solidly Democratic state), and we finally have our second Nebraska CD2 poll to confirm that at least one of the Cornhusker State's EV's could be up for grabs.

One change to the map, as Nebraska (CD2) moves from "lean" to "likely". Currently, Clinton has a projected overall lead of 301 to 237. Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
 
Likely Republican

Maine (CD2): Trump up by 6.9%
Nebraska (CD2): Trump up by 6%
Georgia: Trump up by 5%

Leaning Republican

Arizona: Trump up by 3.3%
Ohio: Trump up by 2.4%
Iowa: Trump up by 2.3%
Nevada: Trump up by 1.4%
North Carolina: Trump up by 1%

Leaning Democrat

Florida: Clinton up by 0.6%
Colorado: Clinton up by 1.5%
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 2%

Likely Democrat

Michigan: Clinton up by 4%
Virginia: Clinton up by 4%
Wisconsin: Clinton up by 4.2%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 4.8%
New Mexico: Clinton up by 4.9%
Minnesota: Clinton up by 6%

Here are the State Polling Averages for all 50 states and the District of Columbia

NATIONAL POLLING

New poll today from PPP that has Clinton up +4 over Trump.

The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 3.4%, trending upwards.

TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES

Associated Press -- Early votes: High interest buoys Clinton in key states

More people are seeking or casting early ballots in the critical states of North Carolina and Florida than at this point in 2012, with Hillary Clinton the likely benefactor, as early voting shows signs of surging nationwide.

Buzzfeed -- Trump Claims Google Suppressed Bad News About Hillary Clinton

Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump on Wednesday claimed Google’s search engine was biased in burying bad news about his rival Hillary Clinton. ”

CNN -- Trump angry at allies conceding he lost debate

Donald Trump is angry that his aides and advisers have conceded to reporters -- largely without attribution -- that the Republican nominee struggled in his first presidential debate.

Fox News -- Johnson has 'Aleppo moment' when asked about favorite foreign leader

Libertarian presidential candidate Gary Johnson said he was having another “Aleppo moment” after drawing a blank when he was asked to name his favorite foreign leader in an interview Wednesday.

Politico -- Trump calls out Clinton's 'unserious' campaign

Donald Trump’s campaign is focused on “big changes and bold solutions” while Hillary Clinton’s is concentrated on “small and petty distractions,” the Republican presidential nominee said Wednesday.

The Hill -- Trump singles out non-Christians at rally

Donald Trump on Wednesday singled out non-Christians during his rally in Iowa, after asking how many were in attendance. "There's a couple people. That's all right. I think we'll keep them, right? Should we keep them in the room, yes? I think so," Trump joked.
     

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