STATE POLLING
New polls today from Arizona (tied), Georgia (Clinton +1), Nevada (Clinton +2), New Hampshire (Clinton +1), Florida (Clinton +2), and Ohio (Clinton +7).
This latest batch of polls is not very good news for Team Trump. The GOP candidate is trending backwards in the states he needs to be winning, and if the Ohio numbers continue to trend at this level, it's about as bad as it gets -- no Republican has ever won the White House without winning Ohio.
Then again, nothing about this campaign has made much sense. And there are 141 electoral votes in states where neither candidate has more than a four-point lead, so things could change quickly. As it is, though, with the latest numbers, Ohio has switched to "leaning Democrat" which gives Clinton a 200 to 155 "safe" electoral lead over Trump with a projected overall lead of 340 to 198.
Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
Leaning Republican
South Carolina: Trump up by 5.6%
Maine (CD2): Trump up by 4%
Arizona: Trump up by 1.6%
Georgia: Trump up by 1.5%
Iowa: Trump up by 1.2%
Leaning Democrat
Ohio: Clinton up by 0.7%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 1.9%
Florida: Clinton up by 1.8%
Michigan: Clinton up by 2.7%
Nevada: Clinton up by 3%
Wisconsin: Clinton up by 3.2%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 4.1%
Colorado: Clinton up by 5%
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 5.3%
Virginia: Clinton up by 5.6%
Here are the State Polling Averages for all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
Note: You may see different results from the NBC/WSJ/Marist polls on other sites today, as we went with the results from four-candidate survey of registered voters, as is our preference when available. Marist polls registered voters and likely voters and uses both two- and four-candidate questions.
NATIONAL POLLING
No new polls today.
The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 3.1%.
TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES
...and yes, there's a recurring theme this morning.
Associated Press -- Pneumonia brings Hillary Clinton's health back as hot issue
Hillary Clinton's stumbles as she left a 9/11 memorial ceremony put her health at the forefront of a presidential campaign in which the two major party nominees are among the oldest ever and have disclosed a limited amount of information about their medical history.
Buzzfeed -- Trump Bats Away Pro-Russian Criticism
Donald Trump on Friday brushed aside criticism that he’s too close to President Vladimir Putin, as many of his supporters told BuzzFeed News they admired the Russian leader’s strongman style.
CNN -- Hillary Clinton stumbles -- will her campaign follow?
A weekend of stumbles has Hillary Clinton suddenly looking vulnerable at a pivotal moment of her battle with Donald Trump. Her swoon Sunday at muggy Ground Zero dramatically turned the state of her health from conservative conspiracy theory into a genuine campaign issue.
Fox News -- Clinton has health 'episode' at 9/11 memorial
Hillary Clinton appeared to stagger and faint in footage showing her early exit from a 9/11 commemoration ceremony on Sunday, though Clinton's doctor said the episode was a result of heat and dehydration -- and revealed she had been diagnosed with pneumonia two days prior.
Politico -- Clinton scare shakes up the race
Hillary Clinton’s health – long the obsession of conspiracy theorists — emerged Sunday as a legitimate campaign issue after Clinton nearly swooned and stumbled at a Sept. 11 commemoration, underscoring the sense that that summer’s sure-thing candidate is flagging at a pivotal moment.
The Hill -- Clinton has pneumonia, cancels California swing
Hillary Clinton has been ill with pneumonia, her doctor revealed in a Sunday evening statement that may shake up the presidential race. Clinton’s health had been the subject of much speculation, fueled most recently by a coughing fit she had at the start of a campaign event in Cleveland, Ohio, last Monday.
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