Tuesday, July 26, 2016

104 Days Till Election Day: New polls from Georgia, Nevada, Ohio

STATE POLLING

New polls today from Georgia, Nevada and Ohio. All three showed Trump in the lead, to the point where Nevada flips to leaning GOP in our map (just barely), and Ohio is also virtually tied. However, his cumulative lead has fallen by a point in Georgia, which means the Peach State could be in play for the first time since the other Clinton was in the presidential race.

Currently, Clinton has a 236 to 142 "safe" electoral lead over Trump with a projected lead of 341 to 197. Here are the current averages from the battleground states:

Mississippi: Trump up by 5.1%
Missouri: Trump up by 4.9%
Utah: Trump up by 4.8%
Georgia: Trump up by 2.1%
Arizona: Trump up by 1.2%
Nevada: Trump up by 0.4%

Ohio: Clinton up by 0.3%
Iowa: Clinton up by 1.6%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 2.3%
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 4.3%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 4.7%
Virginia: Clinton up by 5%
Florida: Clinton up by 5.5% 

NATIONAL POLLING

Three new polls today: CBS News (Trump +1), Economist/YouGov (Clinton +2), and LA Times/USC (Trump +4). A mixed bag, but the post-convention "bounce" has definitely moved the needle in Trump's favor.

The current composite polling average now has Trump up nationally by 0.5%, trending upward.

TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES

Democrats Pull Convention Back From The Brink

(Politico) -- Bernie Sanders loyalists heckled and hassled Democratic stars all day. But when Sanders himself addressed the Democratic National Convention on Monday, the party's nightmarish day finally brightened.

"Hillary Clinton must become the next president of the United States," Sanders boomed. And delegates, for the most part, cheered his call.

That was the clearest sign of an easing after an excruciating day of failed attempts at projecting unity following the divisive and protracted Democratic primary.

Michelle Obama: 'When They Go Low, We Go High'

(CNN) -- Michelle Obama cast the presidential race as one between a positive role model for children -- in Hillary Clinton -- and a damaging one -- in Donald Trump -- in the marquee speech on the Democratic National Convention's opening night. 

The first lady never mentioned Trump by name, but leveraging her popularity, she made a rare, if not unprecedented, foray into partisan politics to knock the Republican nominee. Obama condemned "the hateful language that we hear from public figures on TV," saying that "our motto is, when they go low, we go high." 

And in a shot at Trump's "Make America Great Again" campaign slogan, Obama discussed raising her children in a White House that was built by slaves. "Don't let anyone tell you that this country isn't great. This right now is the greatest country on earth," the first lady said.

Bernie Sanders: 'Hillary Clinton Must Become The Next President' 

(USA Today) -- Sen. Bernie Sanders, working to rally his supporters behind former rival Hillary Clinton, on Monday addressed head-on their disappointment with his second-place finish in the Democratic presidential primaries.

“I understand that many people here in this convention hall and around the country are disappointed about the final results of the nominating process,” the Vermont senator said in remarks at the Democratic National Convention. “I think it’s fair to say that no one is more disappointed than I am. But to all of our supporters – here and around the country – I hope you take enormous pride in the historical accomplishments we have achieved.  Together, my friends, we have begun a political revolution to transform America and that revolution – our revolution – continues.”

Sanders, who was greeted by his campaign signs and chants of "Bernie," said this election is about which candidate understands "the real problems facing this country and has offered real solutions – not just bombast, fear-mongering, name-calling and divisiveness." He said the country needs leadership to improve the lives of working families, children, the elderly, the sick and poor and that brings people together.

FBI Confirms Investigation Into Massive Hack of DNC

(ABC News) -- The FBI has acknowledged that it is investigating a massive breach of the Democratic National Committee's computers, which sources and experts say was likely the work of government hackers in Russia. 

Not only did the hack apparently allow the cyber operatives to steal opposition research on Republican nominee Donald Trump, but also, many suspect, it led to the theft of internal messages that show efforts by DNC officials to undermine Democratic candidate Bernie Sanders during the primary season. Those damaging emails have since been released by WikiLeaks, agitating Sanders supporters at the start of the Democratic convention in Philadelphia and prompting DNC Chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz to tender her resignation, effective at the end of the week. 

"The FBI is investigating a cyber intrusion involving the DNC and are working to determine the nature and scope of the matter," the FBI said in a statement today. "A compromise of this nature is something we take very seriously, and the FBI will continue to investigate and hold accountable those who pose a threat in cyberspace." 
   

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