STATE POLLING
No new polls today.
Currently, Clinton has a 236 to 136 "safe" electoral lead over Trump with a projected lead of 347 to 191. Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
Kansas: Trump up by 5.8%
Mississippi: Trump up by 5.1%
Missouri: Trump up by 4.9%
Utah: Trump up by 4.8%
Georgia: Trump up by 3.1%
Arizona: Trump up by 1.2%
Iowa: Clinton up by 1.6%
Ohio: Clinton up by 2.1%
Nevada: Clinton up by 2.6%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 3.7%
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 4.3%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 4.7%
Virginia: Clinton up by 5%
Florida: Clinton up by 5.5%
NATIONAL POLLING
Two new polls today, from MRG (Clinton +5) and Monmouth (Clinton +2). Both are four-candidate polls, as well.
Currently my composite polling average has Clinton up nationally by 4.1%, but trending downward.
TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES
Melania Trump Speech Appears To Plagiarize Michelle Obama
(The Hill) -- Melania Trump’s highly anticipated speech at the Republican National Convention Monday night appears to have nearly copied a paragraph from Michelle Obama's speech at the 2008 Democratic National Convention.
Presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump’s wife was describing how her parents imparted on her values about working hard and treating people with respect. It included phrases and even precise words that were identical to the first lady's 2008 address.
Here is the graph in question from Melania Trump's speech: "From a young age, my parents impressed on me the values that you work hard for what you want in life: that your word is your bond and you do what you say and keep your promise; that you treat people with respect. They taught and showed me values and morals in their daily life.”
Here is the graph from Obama's 2008 speech: “And Barack and I were raised with so many of the same values: that you work hard for what you want in life; that your word is your bond and you do what you say you're going to do; that you treat people with dignity and respect, even if you don't know them, and even if you don't agree with them,” Michelle Obama said, according to a transcript from CNN.
Chaos Erupts On GOP Convention Floor After Voice Vote Shuts Down Never Trump Forces
(Politico) -- The Republican party came within a whisker of reaching the unity it had long sought Monday. What it got instead was convention floor chaos.
After mounting for weeks, tension exploded into a high-profile fight pitting the Donald Trump campaign and Republican National Committee leadership against a coalition of conservative activists and delegates from the "never Trump” movement.
The two sides were reduced to shouting at each other on national television after party leadership blocked a roll call vote on the convention rules, which virtually guarantee Trump the party nomination by requiring delegates to vote in accordance with their state’s primary or caucus results. Trump critics were unlikely to be able to vote down the rules — and even less likely to achieve their ultimate goal of replacing the rules with ones that “unbound” pledged delegates — but they were seeking a platform to voice their displeasure with Trump and demonstrate the strength of their movement.
On Fox News, Trump Pre-Empts Benghazi Speeches
(CNN) -- While two survivors of the Benghazi attack were on stage recounting their ordeal to rapturous applause, Fox News viewers were watching Trump badmouthing Ohio Gov. John Kasich for skipping the convention. Never mind that Trump had made the Benghazi attack a central theme of the convention's opening night.
The Republican frontrunner's decision to pre-empt his own convention raised the obvious question: If the Benghazi messaging was so important to the convention, why was he stepping on that message with a live phone interview?
The answer, as Fox News host Bill O'Reilly interpreted it, was that the Republican convention was ultimately all about Trump: "I think the strategy is, Donald Trump is it," O'Reilly said.
GOP Platform To Call For Breakup Of The Big Banks
(The Hill) -- Both major political parties are now calling for an overhaul of the financial industry through the return of Glass-Steagall, a Depression-era banking law.
Paul Manafort, presumptive Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump's campaign manager, told reporters gathered in Cleveland Monday that the GOP platform would include language advocating for a return of that law, which was repealed under President Bill Clinton.
“We also call for a reintroduction of Glass-Steagall, which created barriers between what big banks can do,” he said. Including that language in the GOP platform comes shortly after Democrats agreed to similar language in their own, calling for an “updated and modernized version” of the law.
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