Saturday, July 16, 2016

114 Days Till Election Day: New polls from Missouri, Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, Colorado

STATE POLLING

New polls from Missouri, Florida, North Carolina, Virginia and Colorado. With the exception of Missouri (which has moved from leaning DEM to leaning GOP), all the other states show Clinton rebounding from her recent polling drops, with Colorado now moving to solid DEM.

Currently, Clinton has a 249 to 136 "safe" electoral lead over Trump with a projected lead of 347 to 191. Here are the current averages from the battleground states:

Mississippi: Trump up by 5.1%
Utah: Trump up by 5%
Missouri: Trump up by 4.6%
Kansas: Trump up by 3.5%
Georgia: Trump up by 3.1%
Arizona: Trump up by 1.2%
Ohio: Clinton up by 2%
Nevada: Clinton up by 2.6%
Iowa: Clinton up by 3.4%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 3.7%
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 4.3%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 4.7%
Florida: Clinton up by 5.5% 

NATIONAL POLLING

No new polls today. My current composite polling average has Clinton up by 5.2%.

TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES

Donald Trump Officially Picks Mike Pence As His Running Mate


(Washington Post) -- Donald Trump announced Friday that he has selected Indiana Gov. Mike Pence as his running mate, ending days of feverish speculation and recruiting to the GOP ticket a soft-spoken and seasoned conservative who could help unify the divided Republican Party.

“I am pleased to announce that I have chosen Governor Mike Pence as my Vice Presidential running mate,” Trump wrote in a Twitter message delivered at 10:50 a.m. Saturday's planned 11 a.m. news conference will be held in New York at the Hilton hotel in Midtown Manhattan.

Friday’s social-media proclamation capped a period of extraordinary uncertainty and mixed signals about Trump’s selection, only days before the Republican National Convention is set to open in Cleveland.

Cleveland Preps For Partying And Protests

(NPR) -- Since winning the Republican National Convention in 2014, Cleveland has refurbished its Public Square, fixed up downtown streets and finished construction on a $270 million taxpayer-funded hotel. Now it's showtime.

This week, the RNC's 2,000-plus delegates—along with their staffs, tens of thousands of journalists and untold numbers of demonstrators—will crowd into Northeast Ohio to see Donald Trump accept the Republican nomination for president.

Local and federal authorities say they are prepared to protect the convention, and that there is no specific, credible threat against the event. But the killings of five police officers by a gunman in Dallas had led police to take stock of their security preparations, Cleveland Police Chief Calvin Williams said.

Nearly 80 Percent Of White Evangelical Voters Plan To Vote For Trump

(Deseret News) -- Evangelical Christian voters are more supportive of Donald Trump today than they were of Mitt Romney at a similar point in 2012, according to a new report on religion and the 2016 election. 

Nearly 8 in 10 white evangelical voters (78 percent) say they would vote for Trump if the election were held today, compared to 73 percent who said the same about Romney four years ago, the Pew Research Center reported. Findings come from a poll of 2,245 U.S. adults, including 1,655 registered voters, which took place from June 15-26 and has an overall 2.4 percent margin of error. 2

The survey shows that evangelical support for the presumptive Republican presidential nominee runs deep, in spite of high-profile opposition to the candidate from some evangelical leaders, such as Russell Moore, president of the Ethics & Religious Liberty Commission of the Southern Baptist Convention. 
  
Twitter Reacts to Terrible New Trump-Pence Campaign Logo


(Daily Beast) -- The team surrounding presumptive Republican nominee for president Donald Trump hasn’t exactly been lauded for its design savvy, but the RNC’s first logo for the newly minted Trump-Pence ticket might be the worst yet.

A fundraising email sent Friday afternoon by the RNC’s joint fundraising committee unveiled the official logo for Trump and his new vice-presidential pick Indiana Gov. Mike Pence.

The logo features a T for Trump penetrating a P for Pence—and it didn’t take long for social media users to erupt at the unavoidable innuendo.


  

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