STATE POLLING
New polls today from Louisiana (Trump +7), Utah (Trump +1), Florida (Clinton +4), North Carolina (Clinton +1), Nevada (Clinton +2), Colorado (Clinton +8), Pennsylvania (Clinton +6), and two from Ohio (tied, Trump +4).
Finally, some good news for Team Trump, as they have turned things around in Ohio, which had been perilously close to slipping away from them. Though it's unclear how the recent dustup between the campaign and the state party in Ohio will affect Trump's ground game there. Louisiana is still solidly red, though a bit closer than anyone likely expected at the start of the summer.
For Team Clinton, aside from the abovementioned slip in Ohio, things are on par: holding slim but steady leads in North Carolina, Nevada and Florida, and larger leads in Colorado and Pennsylvania.
And Utah is...well, a complete wild card, with Trump polling 30%, Clinton at 29%, and Evan McMullin at 29%. Could we actually see one of the most reliable Republican states (having voted for the GOP candidate in 16 of the last 17 elections) actually turn away from the GOP? It's entirely possible as native son McMullin could become the first independent candidate since George Wallace to win a state. And, considering the wild swings in recent polling numbers, this one is far from clear -- it could be a nail-biter or a complete blow-out.
No changes to the map today. Currently, Clinton has a projected overall lead of 340 to 198. Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
Likely Republican
Nebraska (CD2): Trump up by 6%
Texas: Trump up by 5.9%
Maine (CD2): Trump up by 5.3%
Georgia: Trump up by 5.2%
Leaning Republican
Iowa: Trump up by 3.3%
Arizona: Trump up by 1.3%
Leaning Democrat
Ohio: Clinton up by 1.1%
Nevada: Clinton up by 2.6%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 2.7%
Florida: Clinton up by 3.1%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 3.3%
Likely Democrat
Colorado: Clinton up by 5.4%
Minnesota: Clinton up by 6%
New Mexico: Clinton up by 6%
Wisconsin: Clinton up by 6.3%
Here are the State Polling Averages for all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
NATIONAL POLLING
New polls today from NBC News (Clinton +6), CBS News (Clinton +9), GWU (Clinton +8), and Monmouth (Clinton +12). Apparently, everyone agrees that Clinton is moving further ahead of Trump, it's just that none of them really agree on how far ahead.
The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 8.3%.
TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES
Associated Press -- Trump wrongly insists voter fraud is 'very, very common'
Donald Trump is insisting voter fraud does, indeed, pose a significant threat to the integrity of the U.S. electoral system, claiming the election could be rigged "at the polling booths" despite a lack of evidence and experts' insistence to the contrary.
CNN -- Why Trump's talk of a rigged vote is so dangerous
Donald Trump is playing with fire. The Republican presidential nominee's claim that the election is being rigged against him represents the most outlandish moment yet in a campaign devoted to dismantling political norms.
Fox News -- Media rigging election? Press hits back hard at Trump's rhetoric
Donald Trump is now openly accusing the media of rigging the election, while much of the media accuse him of trafficking in crackpot conspiracy theories. There’s no pretense any more, no fig leaf of honest but aggressive engagement. And that is driving us toward a bizarre finish in the strangest election of modern times.
Politico -- Trump builds on voter fraud claims rated false by fact-checker
Taking fire from all sides for his claim that American democracy is “rigged,” Donald Trump cited academic studies to justify his claims that the country is beset by widespread voter fraud Monday night in Wisconsin.
The Hill -- Trump looks for lifeline in final presidential debate
It’s now or never for Donald Trump. The Republican nominee must find some way to get traction in what could be an explosive presidential debate on Wednesday.
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