STATE POLLING
New polls today from North Carolina (Clinton +1), Wisconsin (Clinton +8), Virginia (Clinton +9), and Pennsylvania (Clinton +4).
Clinton is still fighting tough in North Carolina, where Trump has a very solid base that seemingly is not all that upset with "hot-mic" boasts of sexual assault and who seemingly enjoyed his debate performance. As it is, Clinton has been slowly but steadily moving the dial towards her camp the past few weeks. This is one state that will all but certainly go down to the wire (barring any other "October Surprises", that is)
Pennsylvania is interesting, as this poll is a bit of an outlier compared to how Clinton has been polling the last two weeks. We'll see how it shakes out with the next few polls from the Keystone State. Wisconsin and Virginia are shaping up well for Clinton, as well.
All in all, just another really bad day for the Trump campaign.
One change to the map: Pennsylvania has moved from "solid" to "likely". Currently, Clinton has a projected overall lead of 340 to 198. Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
Likely Republican
Maine (CD2): Trump up by 6.9%
Nebraska (CD2): Trump up by 6%
Georgia: Trump up by 5%
Leaning Republican
Iowa: Trump up by 3.3%
Arizona: Trump up by 1.4%
Leaning Democrat
Nevada: Clinton up by 1%
Ohio: Clinton up by 1%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 1.9%
Florida: Clinton up by 2.2%
Likely Democrat
Colorado: Clinton up by 4.2%
Michigan: Clinton up by 4.8%
Wisconsin: Clinton up by 5.1%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 5.3%
Minnesota: Clinton up by 6%
New Mexico: Clinton up by 6%
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 6.9%
Here are the State Polling Averages for all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
NATIONAL POLLING
New polls today from NBC News/Wall Street Journal (Clinton +11), Rasmussen Reports (Clinton +7), and NBC News/SM (Clinton +5).
The NBC/WSJ poll is the first to put Clinton ahead by double digits since the bounce from the Democratic Convention, and even right-leaning Rasmussen is giving her their biggest lead of the season. Both polls were taken after the "Access Hollywood" tape leaked on Friday, while the other NBC News poll overlapped the news.
The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 7.4%, trending upwards.
TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES
Associated Press -- Tensions flare as Republicans clash over Trump
Donald Trump's candidacy has long exposed divisions within the Republican Party. But GOP leaders had hoped to prevent an all-out civil war at least until after the election.
CNN -- Paul Ryan said he won't defend Donald Trump
House Speaker Paul Ryan dealt his own party's presidential nominee a withering blow Monday, telling fellow Republicans he will no longer defend Donald Trump and will instead use the next 29 days to focus on preserving his party's hold on Congress.
Fox News -- Trump warns of 'rigged' vote, as Clinton claims he uses Chinese steel
Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump warned his supporters Monday to keep a close eye on the polls so the "election is not stolen from us," while Hillary Clinton hit her opponent with allegations he uses Chinese steel in his construction projects the day after a raucous second presidential debate.
Politico -- Trump ramps up attack on Paul Ryan for 'zero support'
Donald Trump escalated his attacks Tuesday on House Speaker Paul Ryan and other Republicans for not supporting him, tweeting that they’re holding back his campaign after a relatively successful debate performance Sunday night
The Hill -- GOP leaders advise members to proceed with caution on Trump
Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) is advising Republican senators to use their own game plans to deal with a possible collapse of GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump’s campaign. McConnell is telling vulnerable GOP senators to focus on their own states and races and avoid getting swept up in the controversy swirling around Trump, GOP sources say.
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