Sunday, October 2, 2016

36 Days Till Election Day: New polls from Nevada, New Jersey

STATE POLLING

New polls today from Nevada (Clinton +1) and New Jersey (Clinton +6).

Nevada has been going back-and-forth between the two main candidates for some time now, and doesn't show any sign of settling down. The New Jersey poll appears to be a bit of an outlier -- Clinton has been close to averaging a +10 lead for several months in the Garden State -- though not completely outside of the normal range of possibility.

No changes to the map today. Currently, Clinton has a projected overall lead of 322 to 216. Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
 
Likely Republican

Maine (CD2): Trump up by 6.9%
Nebraska (CD2): Trump up by 6%
Georgia: Trump up by 5%

Leaning Republican

Arizona: Trump up by 3.3%
Ohio: Trump up by 2.4%
Iowa: Trump up by 2.3%

Leaning Democrat

North Carolina: Clinton up by 0.1%
Nevada: Clinton up by 0.6%
Florida: Clinton up by 1.7%
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 2.6%
Colorado: Clinton up by 2.8%

Likely Democrat

Virginia: Clinton up by 4.2%
Wisconsin: Clinton up by 4.2%
Michigan: Clinton up by 4.8%
New Mexico: Clinton up by 4.9%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 5.3%
Minnesota: Clinton up by 6%

Here are the State Polling Averages for all 50 states and the District of Columbia

NATIONAL POLLING

New no national polls today.

The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 3.1%.

TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES

Associated Press -- Trump losses may mean he didn't pay taxes for years

Donald Trump's business losses in 1995 were so large that they could have allowed him to avoid paying federal income taxes for as many as 18 years, according to records obtained by The New York Times.

Buzzfeed -- Trump Allies Focus On ‘90s Bill Clinton Sex Scandals

Allies of Donald Trump have a new line in the days since the debate: that Trump is a paragon of graciousness for not attacking Hillary Clinton on the debate stage for her husband’s affairs.

CNN -- What Trump tax report could mean for his campaign

Hillary Clinton's campaign Saturday night seized on a New York Times report about Donald Trump's 1995 tax records, in which the Times showed he declared a $916 million loss that could have allowed him to legally skip paying federal income taxes for years.

Fox News -- FBI files reveal how Clinton server was created in K Street lab

If Hillary Clinton’s ‘homebrew’ server ever got the Mary Shelley treatment, IT specialist Bryan Pagliano would make a fine Dr. Frankenstein – FBI documents reveal new details about how he painstakingly created the machine over a series of months while working in a room along Washington’s storied K Street.

Politico -- Bombshell report on Trump taxes sends GOP nominee reeling

It took less than a day for October to produce an "October surprise." Donald Trump reported a nearly $1 billion loss on his 1995 tax returns and could therefore have avoided paying federal income taxes for almost two decades, the New York Times reported on Saturday.

The Hill -- Trump could have legally avoided taxes for years

The New York Times obtained fragments of Trump’s 1995 tax records, not previously released, that show Trump reported a federal adjusted gross income loss of $915.7 million in the wake of financial struggles at three Atlantic City casinos, his airline business and purchase of Manhattan’s Plaza Hotel.
 

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