STATE POLLING
New polls today from Nevada (Clinton +3), North Carolina (Clinton +6), Tennessee (Trump +12), Illinois (Clinton +25), and two from Pennsylvania (Clinton +10 and Clinton +9).
A night after her running mate turned in a less-than-stellar debate performance, Hillary Clinton can be happy to turn her attention to today's polling results, which show her picking up momentum in crucial states. And while Nevada and North Carolina are still extremely close, she is starting to pull away in Pennsylvania, moving the state from "leaning" to "likely" Democrat.
In fact, if you look at our prediction map, you'll notice that if Clinton closes the deal on all the "solid" and "likely" states, she's just over the necessary 270 vote mark. In other words, she could go ahead and lose Nevada, North Carolina and even Florida and still win the White House. Which is in good part why, even with national polling numbers that are averaging a lead of just over 4% for Clinton, most prognostication sites put her chances of winning at 80% right now.
Currently, Clinton has a projected overall lead of 322 to 216. Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
Likely Republican
Maine (CD2): Trump up by 6.9%
Nebraska (CD2): Trump up by 6%
Georgia: Trump up by 5%
Leaning Republican
Arizona: Trump up by 3.3%
Ohio: Trump up by 2.9%
Iowa: Trump up by 2.3%
Leaning Democrat
Nevada: Clinton up by 0.8%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 2%
Florida: Clinton up by 2.1%
Likely Democrat
Wisconsin: Clinton up by 4.2%
Colorado: Clinton up by 4.5%
New Mexico: Clinton up by 4.4%
Michigan: Clinton up by 4.8%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 5.3%
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 5.3%
Minnesota: Clinton up by 6%
Virginia: Clinton up by 6%
Here are the State Polling Averages for all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
NATIONAL POLLING
New poll today from NBC News that has Clinton up six, 46% to 40% over Trump. with Johnson at 9% and Stein at 3%.
The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 4.4%, trending upwards.
TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES
ABC News -- Vice Presidential Debate: 6 Moments That Mattered
Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump weren’t the focus of tonight’s debate but their policies and campaign promises were at the center of the face-off. The vice presidential contenders -- Virginia Sen. Tim Kaine and Indiana Gov. Mike Pence -- were the stars of the evening as they made their cases for their respective running mates.
Associated Press -- Pence calm and steady, but dodges in defending Trump
Republican Mike Pence was calm and steady in the face of Democrat Tim Kaine's fiery and frequent challenges. But when it came to defending Donald Trump, Pence dodged, sidestepped or was silent about some of his running mate's most provocative words.
CBS News -- Bill Clinton calls Obama health care law a "crazy system"
Former President Bill Clinton criticized the Affordable Care Act at a campaign event Monday, saying the way President Obama’s signature legislative accomplishment works in practice is “the craziest thing in the world.”
CNN -- 5 takeaways from the vice presidential debate
For one night, Mike Pence put a calmer, gentler face on the 2016 Republican ticket. And Tim Kaine's pestering style helped him do it. But the Indiana governor's big night in Tuesday's vice presidential debate might not transfer to his running mate, Donald Trump.
Fox News -- Kaine, Pence trade blows over 'insult-driven campaigns'
e Pence and Tim Kaine scrambled to defend their running mates’ temperament and judgment at their first and only face-off Tuesday night – an unruly 90-minute session in which the vice presidential candidates routinely talked over each other - and the moderator - as they channeled some of the feistiness from last week’s opening presidential debate.
MSNBC -- Pence and Kaine Attack Top of the Ticket
Tim Kaine and Mike Pence both embraced the role of attack dog here Tuesday, using the only vice presidential debate to focus on reinforcing the most negative perceptions of their opponent over defending the top of their own ticket.
Politico -- 5 takeaways from the debate that didn’t matter
The first and only vice-presidential debate of 2016 was less a game-changer than a channel-changer, a snippy and probably inconsequential 90 minutes marginally won by Mike Pence – a confident, slightly smarmy debater very much in the mold of those calculating Washington, D.C., politicians who are destroying America.
The Hill -- VP debate sharpens lines of attack
Democrat Tim Kaine and Republican Mike Pence repeatedly interrupted one another Tuesday at a spirited vice presidential debate where both sought to go on the attack. Pence, a veteran of talk radio, sought to regain momentum for the GOP ticket after a difficult first presidential debate for Donald Trump.
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