STATE POLLING
New polls today from Indiana, Utah and New Hampshire, with little overall change for each state. Trump still holds a solid lead in Indiana (+11) and remains fairly steady in Utah (down 0.2), while Clinton remains fairly steady in New Hampshire (up 0.1). But the big news (at least for our map) is the latest poll from Missouri, which moves the Show-Me State from lean to solid Republican.
Currently, Clinton has a 236 to 152 "safe" electoral lead over Trump with a projected lead of 341 to 197. Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
Mississippi: Trump up by 5.1%
Utah: Trump up by 4.7%
Georgia: Trump up by 2.1%
Arizona: Trump up by 1.2%
Nevada: Trump up by 0.4%
Ohio: Clinton up by 0.3%
Iowa: Clinton up by 1.6%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 2.5%
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 4.3%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 4.7%
Virginia: Clinton up by 5%
Florida: Clinton up by 5.5%
NATIONAL POLLING
Two new polls today, from NBC News/SM and Reuters/Ipsos, that have Trump ahead of Clinton, albeit just slightly (+2 in both). The current composite polling average has Trump up nationally by 0.7%, trending upward.
With seven separate post-convention polls now out, it appears the cumulative "bounce" was a swing of about 5% in Trump's favor, which is relatively standard. By this time next week, we'll be able to judge if the Democratic Convention will even out the bounce or if Trump will be able to maintain (or even build) on his momentum.
TOP POLITICAL STORIES
Clinton Nomination Puts 'Biggest Crack' In Glass Ceiling
(CNN) -- Democrats on Tuesday made Hillary Clinton the first woman to head a major party ticket -- and during an emotional night, her family and supporters asked voters to give her a second look.
At the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia, just three miles from Independence Hall where the nation was born, a sense of history is palpable -- as is Clinton's willingness to finally enjoy it.
"What an incredible honor that you have given me, and I can't believe we just put the biggest crack in that glass ceiling yet," Clinton said via satellite after a video montage showed the faces of all 44 male presidents before shattering like glass to reveal Clinton waiting to address the convention from New York.
Bill Clinton Asks Voters To Embrace The 'Real' Hillary
(Politico) Bill Clinton delivered a forceful and deeply personal testimony on behalf of his wife, telling a rapt audience in Philadelphia and millions of American voters to reject Republicans’ caricature of Hillary Clinton and embrace “the real one.”
More than 15 years after he left the White House, the former president on Tuesday night warned that Donald Trump cannot be its next resident and that Hillary Clinton was the clear choice.
Toward the end of a 42-minute address packed with anecdotes and triumphs, Clinton asked a pointed question.
"Now, how does this square? How does this square with the things that you heard at the Republican convention? What is the difference in what I told you and what they said? How do you square it? You can't. One is real, the other is made up," Clinton said.
Barack Obama To Make Case For Hillary Clinton, His Legacy
(CNN) -- President Barack Obama's three Democratic convention speeches have, in succession, launched his national career, thrust him into the Oval Office and secured him a second term. On Wednesday, he'll work during his fourth marquee convention address to ensure those earlier efforts weren't for naught.
In his prime-time pitch for Hillary Clinton, Obama plans to argue not only for the Democratic nominee, but for the progressive policies that he's spent the last eight years enacting -- an agenda that will depend largely on his successor to maintain.
His message, according to those helping him prepare for the speech: Don't flush everything away with Donald Trump. Obama plans to draw on his long and complicated relationship with Clinton, which began as a rivalry but has evolved into what the pair hopes can become the first elected Democrat-to-Democrat presidential transition in modern history.
Sanders Loyalists Warn Democratic Party Could Rupture Over Clinton Nomination
(FOX News) -- Bernie Sanders loyalists warned that the Democratic Party could rupture over the nomination of Hillary Clinton after a volatile night that saw a large group of Sanders delegates and supporters exit the party's national convention to stage a sit-in at a nearby media tent.
They rejected Sanders' call for unity even after the Vermont senator took the symbolic step of declaring Clinton the winner of the state-by-state delegate count inside the convention in Philadelphia.
"I suspect we are witnessing an event that will fundamentally change American politics," said Cory James, 22, a college student from Flint, Michigan, who expects the Democratic Party to break apart over Clinton's victory.
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