Wednesday, July 13, 2016

117 Days Till Election Day: New polls from Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida, Iowa, Colorado

STATE POLLING

New polling from Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida, Iowa and Colorado. Of note today, Iowa was moved from safe DEM to leaning DEM and has returned to the battleground map.

Currently, Clinton has a 227 to 136 "safe" electoral lead over Trump with a projected lead of 357 to 181. Here are the current averages from the battleground states:

Mississippi: Trump up by 5.1%
Utah: Trump up by 5%
Kansas: Trump up by 3.5%
Georgia: Trump up by 3.1%
Arizona: Trump up by 1.2%
Missouri: Clinton up by 0.8%
Ohio: Clinton up by 2.3%
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 2.6%
Nevada: Clinton up by 2.6%
Florida: Clinton up by 3.1%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 3.7%
Colorado: Clinton up by 4.6%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 4.8%
Iowa: Clinton up by 5.9%
Virginia: Clinton up by 6%

NATIONAL POLLING

A new Rueters/Ipsos poll has Clinton extending her lead to +13 over Trump in a head-to-head match-up.

This pushes the composite polling average for Clinton up to 8.3% over Trump, the largest lead since we started tracking this year.

TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES

Sanders, Clinton Join Forces Against Trump

(USA Today) -- They spent more than a year trading barbs over both policy and judgement. But Hillary Clinton and Sen. Bernie Sanders worked to put that behind them on Tuesday, standing side-by-side in a high school gym as Sanders endorsed his former rival and told a cheering crowd that Clinton would “make an outstanding president.”

“She will be the Democratic nominee for president and I intend to do everything I can to make certain she will be the next president of the United States,” he said.

Clinton said her general-election race against presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump will be more enjoyable now that she and the Vermont senator are on the same side. She urged Sanders' supporters to join her campaign and make it their own.

Anti-Trump Effort Slow To Start In Cleveland

(CNN) -- In the weeks before Republicans descended on Cleveland, the band of conservative delegates fighting against Donald Trump promised a scrappy but ardent effort to take the convention by storm. Two days into the preliminary meetings, there's little sign the anti-Trump movement is taking hold.

Republican National Committee members and delegates gathered in Cleveland for this week's battle have thus far largely brushed aside the effort to change the convention rules and allow delegates to vote for any candidate.

"Whether you supported Donald Trump along the way or not: He. Is. Our. Nominee," said RNC Rules Committee Chairman Bruce Ash Tuesday. Others have gone further -- in one scene Tuesday afternoon, a key RNC member confronted an anti-Trump organizer he said was behind radio ads attacking him.

NAACP: Trump Declines Offer To Address Civil Rights Group

(Washington Post) -- The NAACP says Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has declined an invitation to address the group’s upcoming convention, flouting established precedent and highlighting anew the GOP standard-bearer’s struggle to attract support from nonwhite voters.

NAACP president Cornell William Brooks told CNN Tuesday that Trump had declined the group’s invitation to speak at the Cincinnati gathering, scheduled from Saturday through Wednesday. Presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton is slated to speak there next Monday, which is also opening day of the Republican National Convention across the state in Cleveland.

The Trump campaign did not respond immediately Tuesday night to an Associated Press request for comment. Brooks said the Trump campaign cited scheduling conflicts with the GOP convention, where Trump will formally accept the party’s nomination.

Pence, Gingrich Make The Final Cut In Trump's VP Search, Sources Say

(CNN) -- As anticipation builds for Donald Trump to name his vice presidential pick, two hopefuls -- Indiana Gov. Mike Pence and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich -- appear to be the front-runners, according to a person familiar with the deliberations.

Also still in the mix: New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie. Trump will likely make the announcement on Friday, the source said.

Pence introduced Trump at a rally Tuesday in Indiana that served as an audition of sorts as the presumptive Republican nominee closes in on a decision. The Indiana governor happily played the role of attack dog by slamming Hillary Clinton and saying she "must never become president of the United States."

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