STATE POLLING
New polling from Michigan, Virginia, Wisconsin, Ohio and Pennsylvania, along with two polls each from Colorado and Iowa.
Currently, Clinton has a 240 to 136 "safe" electoral lead over Trump with a projected lead of 357 to 181. Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
Mississippi: Trump up by 5.1%
Utah: Trump up by 5%
Kansas: Trump up by 3.5%
Georgia: Trump up by 3.1%
Arizona: Trump up by 1.2%
Missouri: Clinton up by 0.8%
Ohio: Clinton up by 2%
Nevada: Clinton up by 2.6%
Florida: Clinton up by 3.1%
Iowa: Clinton up by 3.4%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 3.7%
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 4.3%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 4.8%
Colorado: Clinton up by 6%
NATIONAL POLLING
New polling from CBS News/NY Times (tied) and Economist/YouGov (Clinton +2), along with a Rasmussen poll that continues a string of severe outlier results (in this case, Trump +7), to the point where I've decided to no longer factor in Rasmussen to the average, as I highly question their methodology and accuracy.
Even so, with with the two new polls showing a strong tightening in the national picture (likely a combination of the Clinton email scandal story and the Dallas sniper attack), with my composite polling average dropping Clinton's lead down to an even 5%.
TOP POLITICAL STORIES
Trump Heads Into Convention With Barely Any Campaign At All
(Huffington Post) -- As he heads for the Republican convention in Cleveland next week, Donald Trump’s campaign infrastructure remains severely underdeveloped. In some places it appears to be non-existent.
The presumptive Republican presidential nominee has been public about his belief that he can navigate his way to electoral victory on thin budgets and limited physical presence. But the degree to which his campaign is barebones may not be fully appreciated.
The Huffington Post attempted to call the contact phone numbers for the Trump campaign in all 50 states. A few of the state operations had no websites or no numbers listed. Many of the other numbers didn’t work. When we left voicemails, we didn’t get callbacks.
Trump Advisers Split On VP Pick
(Politico) The deliberations over who Donald Trump should pick as his running mate reached a fever pitch on Wednesday, as members of his inner circle scrambled to fly to Indiana because they were increasingly convinced Trump was leaning away from Indiana Gov. Mike Pence and toward New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, according to a campaign source with direct knowledge of the situation.
Trump's top adviser Paul Manafort, three of Trump's adult children, and his son-in-law Jared Kushner jetted to meet him in Indiana, where the candidate had stayed overnight, in an effort to intervene as he nears finalizing his choice for a vice presidential pick.
Trump remained in Indiana due to a "technical problem" with his plane, after having met with Pence on Sunday and appearing with him at a rally on Tuesday night.
Trump Seeks $10M In Damages From Former Campaign Consultant
(Washington Post) -- Donald Trump is seeking $10 million in damages from a fired campaign consultant, alleging that the staffer disclosed information to media outlets in violation of a confidentiality agreement he signed, according to newly filed court documents.
The presumptive Republican presidential nominee is seeking the funds through arbitration from Sam Nunberg, who was fired from the campaign last summer amid clashes with then-campaign manager Corey Lewandowski and for posting what the campaign said was racially offensive material on Facebook. Nunberg is trying to halt arbitration and has accused Trump's campaign of trying to cover up an affair between other campaign staffers.
The dispute, which was thrust into public view through media reports on Wednesday, underscored Trump's practice of binding staffers to non-discloure agreements, which is highly unusual in political campaigns. It was also a concrete example of how the many firings and resignations that have rocked Trump's campaign could become distractions in the run-up to November.
Large Number Of GOP Senators Skipping Convention
(Washington Post) -- Sen. Steve Daines of Montana will be fly-fishing with his wife. Sen. Jeff Flake of Arizona said he has to mow his lawn (yes, he has one even in Arizona). Sen. Lisa Murkowski of Alaska will be traveling her state by bush plane.
And Sen. John McCain of Arizona will be visiting the Grand Canyon, and joked that his friend Sen. Lindsey Graham of South Carolina would be coming along and might even fall in (just kidding, an aide later clarified).
All are among the GOP senators who will be skipping next week’s convention in Cleveland where Donald Trump will claim the Republican Party presidential nomination. A majority of Republican senators do plan to attend, and it’s not unusual for lawmakers to skip their party’s convention, especially if they’re up for re-election and need to spend time campaigning.
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