Sunday, July 24, 2016

106 Days Till Election Day: New poll from Michigan

STATE POLLING

Another poll from Michigan that shows Clinton increasing her lead over Trump in a state that the GOP really wants to put into play this season. Clinton now has a +8.1 lead in the state, though, so Trump has his work cut out for him.

Currently, Clinton has a 236 to 136 "safe" electoral lead over Trump with a projected lead of 347 to 191. Here are the current averages from the battleground states:

Kansas: Trump up by 5.8%
Mississippi: Trump up by 5.1%
Missouri: Trump up by 4.9%
Utah: Trump up by 4.8%
Georgia: Trump up by 3.1%
Arizona: Trump up by 1.2%

Iowa: Clinton up by 1.6%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 2.3%
Ohio: Clinton up by 2.6%
Nevada: Clinton up by 2.6%
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 4.3%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 4.7%
Virginia: Clinton up by 5%
Florida: Clinton up by 5.5% 

NATIONAL POLLING

The first post-convention poll is in, this one from Gravis, and it shows a bit of a bounce for Trump, putting him ahead of Clinton by 2 in a head-to-head match-up (Johnson and Stein were not included).

My current composite polling average has Clinton up nationally by 2%, trending downward.

STATE POLLING

Clinton Formally Introduces VP Pick Kaine At Rally

(Politico) -- Hillary Clinton rolled out Tim Kaine as her running mate at a campaign rally in Florida on Saturday — and the Virginia senator went on to give a smooth, upbeat performance that energized supporters and wowed a press corps primed to expect someone a little more boring.

Clinton first announced Kaine’s addition to the ticket in a text message to supporters Friday evening but formally — and strategically — introduced him Saturday at a rally in Miami at Florida International University.

“I have to say that Sen. Tim Kaine is everything Donald Trump and Mike Pence are not,” Clinton began. “He is qualified to step into this job and lead on Day One, and he is a progressive who likes to get things done.”

Clinton’s veep rollout, unlike Trump’s a week ago, comes before key demographics in a swing state. FIU, one of two major universities in the city, has a 60 percent Hispanic student population.

Tim Kaine Sees Political Gifts Come Under Scrutiny

(New York Times) -- Barr Pharmaceuticals gave Gov. Tim Kaine of Virginia a ride on a private jet to a meeting in Aspen, Colo., at a time in 2006 when it was lobbying him over issues related to its drug sales, state records show.

Dominion Resources, Virginia’s largest electric utility and a lobbying force in the state’s capital, Richmond, picked up the tab for a trip that Mr. Kaine took that same year to the college basketball Final Four tournament (and a funeral) in Indianapolis, according to the records.

McCandlish Holton PC, a law and lobbying firm that represented Virginia’s small vineyards and worked closely with Mr. Kaine’s office to create a new system for distributing wine produced by the vineyards, presented Mr. Kaine with four cases of wine in 2007, the records show, the same year he signed the legislation into law.

Under Virginia’s lax ethics rules at the time, the gifts, which had a total value of more than $160,000, were all legal as long as they were disclosed

DNC Chair Won't Speak at Dem Convention Following Wikileaks Fallout

(CNN) -- The head of the Democratic National Committee will not speak at the party's convention next week, a decision reached by party officials Saturday after emails surfaced that raised questions about the committee's impartiality during the Democratic primary.

Debbie Wasserman Schultz, whose stewardship of the DNC has been under fire through most of the presidential primary process, will not have a major speaking role in an effort "to keep the peace" in the party, a Democrat familiar with the decision said. The revelation comes following the release of nearly 20,000 emails

One email appears to show DNC staffers asking how they can reference Bernie Sanders' faith to weaken him in the eyes of Southern voters. Another seems to depict an attorney advising the committee on how to defend Hillary Clinton against an accusation by the Sanders campaign of not living up to a joint fundraising agreement.

Benghazi Victim's Mother Asks Trump To Stop Talking About Son's Death

(CNN) -- The mother of U.S. Ambassador J. Christopher Stevens, who died during the 2012 Benghazi attacks, penned a short letter to the editor of The New York Times asking that Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump and the GOP stop invoking her son's death.

"I know for certain that Chris would not have wanted his name or memory used in that connection," Mary Commanday wrote in the letter, which was published Saturday. "I hope that there will be an immediate and permanent stop to this opportunistic and cynical use by the campaign."

The Benghazi attacks were frequently mentioned in speeches at this week's Republican National Convention in Cleveland, where speakers used it as a reason presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton is unfit for the presidency.
  

No comments:

Post a Comment