Sunday, July 17, 2016

113 Days Till Election Day: New polls from Kansas and Virginia.

STATE POLLING

New polls from Kansas and Virginia. In Kansas, which has been lightly polled, Trump is starting to solidify his support, though it's still considered a "lean GOP" state. The Virginia poll is a bit more surprising, as Clinton had moved the state into "safe" status, only to see her support drop into a tie with Trump, thus bringing the state back into "lean DEM" status.

Currently, Clinton has a 236 to 136 "safe" electoral lead over Trump with a projected lead of 347 to 191. Here are the current averages from the battleground states:

Kansas: Trump up by 5.8%
Mississippi: Trump up by 5.1%
Utah: Trump up by 5%
Missouri: Trump up by 4.6%
Georgia: Trump up by 3.1%
Arizona: Trump up by 1.2%
Ohio: Clinton up by 2%
Nevada: Clinton up by 2.6%
Iowa: Clinton up by 3.4%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 3.7%
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 4.3%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 4.7%
Virginia: Clinton up by 5%
Florida: Clinton up by 5.5% 

NATIONAL POLLING

No new polls today. My current composite polling average has Clinton up by 5.2%.

TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES

Trump Introduces Pence, Eventually

(Politico) -- Donald Trump held a rally to introduce his VP pick Mike Pence on Saturday, but he had a few other things to get to first.

In a winding opening address, Trump's praise of Pence was interspersed with attacks on Hillary Clinton, promises to right numerous wrongs of President Barack Obama and recountings of his victories over rivals during the GOP primary and after.

After 30 minutes, Trump exited the stage to let Pence speak. 12 minutes later, Pence was finished and Trump was back. The two jointly waved to the Manhattan crowd and left shortly thereafter.

When he did reference Pence, Trump spoke glowingly. He is "a man of honor, character and honesty," Trump said.

Trump Lures New Big-Money Donors

(Bloomberg) -- Even as he drives away some stalwart Republican party donors, Donald Trump is attracting new sources of money.

That was clear on Friday and Saturday, as Trump and his allies revealed the names of some of his most generous supporters. Of the contributions disclosed so far, the biggest Trump supporter in the country is Geoffrey Palmer, a real-estate developer in Beverly Hills, who gave $2 million to a pro-Trump group known as Rebuilding America Now. Palmer isn't widely known in donor circles and hadn't previously written checks of that size, according to Federal Election Commission data.

Since Trump defeated the last of his rivals for the Republican presidential nomination in May, he's been working to win over the Republican donor class with a series of fundraising dinners around the country. It hasn't been enough for power brokers such as Charles Koch, the Kansas industrialist, or Paul Singer, the New York hedge-fund manager, both of whom have declared they don't support the candidate.

Trump is Not As Much of a Drag on GOP Senate Races as Some Feared 

(Fiscal Times) -- For a while, it looked as if presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump and his fiery style might pose a serious drag on the rest of the Republican ticket, especially in the GOP’s desperate effort to retain control of the Senate.

Endangered GOP incumbents sought to distance themselves from Trump, uneasy with his controversial attacks on Muslims and immigrants and his vow to shake up Washington. Many of them have found excuses to stay away from the Republican National Convention that begins in Cleveland on Monday.

Trump may still prove to be lethal for down-ballot Republicans before the election campaign is over this fall. A lot depends on whether he can overtake presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton in what already has become one of the nastiest and most contentious presidential campaigns of modern times. But for now at least, things look slightly less bleak for several incumbent Republican senators from key battleground states.

Clinton Meets With Potential VP Picks

(CNN) -- Hillary Clinton met Friday with several high-profile potential vice presidential picks at her Washington, D.C., home, including Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper and Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Secretary Julian Castro.

The series of meetings come as Clinton finalizes her running mate selection process, a source familiar with the process told CNN, and hours after presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump officially named Indiana Gov. Mike Pence as his No. 2.

Campaign chairman John Podesta, who is heading Clinton's VP vetting process, and campaign vice chair Huma Abedin were also in the house during the meetings.

Brian Fallon, a Clinton campaign spokesman, would only say in a statement that Clinton "held a series of campaign-related meetings at her Washington home, including several about her vice presidential selection process."
   

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