Monday, July 11, 2016

119 Days Till Election Day: No new state polls

STATE POLLING


No new state polls today.

We have a new map this week, which now breaks down the battleground states based on "safe" (dark colors), "lean" (light colors), and "toss-up" (neutral color). Currently, Clinton has a 233 to 134 "safe" electoral lead over Trump with a projected lead of 338 to 181 with 19 too close to call.

Here are the current averages from the battleground states:

Mississippi: Trump up by 5.1%
Utah: Trump up by 5%
Kansas: Trump up by 3.45%
Georgia: Trump up by 3.1%
Arizona: Trump up by 1.1%
Missouri: Trump up by 0.75%
Colorado: Clinton up by 1%
Nevada: Clinton up by 1.6%
Ohio: Clinton up by 4.1%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 4.8%
Virginia: Clinton up by 4.9%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 5%
Florida: Clinton up by 5.6%
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 5.7%

NATIONAL POLLING


No new national polls today. Currently, our composite polling average has Clinton up by 6.3%.

Top Political Headlines


Sanders Set for Rally With Hillary Clinton

(New York Times) -- The awkward dance between Hillary Clinton and Senator Bernie Sanders, her top Democratic primary opponent, is set to conclude on Tuesday, with Mr. Sanders appearing alongside her at a rally in Portsmouth, N.H.

The event, confirmed by a person familiar with the planning who was not authorized to discuss the rally publicly, could do much to appease Sanders supporters who remain skeptical of Mrs. Clinton as she heads to the party’s convention this month in Philadelphia. Mrs. Clinton has secured enough delegates for the presidential nomination but is not yet officially the nominee.

The rally, which will be held in a state where Mr. Sanders defeated Mrs. Clinton by 22 percentage points in a hard-fought February primary, is the result of weeks of private negotiations and policy debates between the Sanders and Clinton camps. While the endorsement event is widely expected to happen, Mrs. Clinton had to reschedule two recent events, one with President Obama and the other with Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr., because of the shootings in Orlando, Fla., and Dallas.

Buzz Builds Around Pence for Trump's VP

(The Hill) -- Buzz is building on Capitol Hill for Indiana Gov. Mike Pence to be Donald Trump’s running mate.

Republican lawmakers, some of whom have close ties with Pence from the more than a decade he spent in the House, say the battleground state governor could be instrumental in helping Trump develop the relationships he needs in Washington.

GOP House members praised Pence, 57, as a proven fundraiser and principled social conservative they could work with to influence Trump in the Oval Office.

Hillary Clinton May Have To Testify Under Oath

(The Washington Times) -- Prosecutors decided last week not to charge former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton over her secret email server, but a federal court could still force her to testify under oath after a conservative law firm petitioned the judge to force her to talk.

Judicial Watch, which has been pursuing Mrs. Clinton’s emails for years through more than a dozen open-records lawsuits and has already subjected her top aides to depositions, petitioned Judge Emmet G. Sullivan on Friday to order Mrs. Clinton to talk. The group said there are questions only she can answer about how she handled her messages.

“It was her system. She was the primary driving force behind it and was its principal user,” Judicial Watch said in its court filing. “Without Secretary Clinton’s testimony, there can be no fair, rightful and conclusive answer to the court’s questions.”

GOP Senators Are Skipping Convention In Droves

(TPM) -- Donald Trump has promised to make the Republican Convention in Cleveland a star-studded production only a casino mogul and reality television star could deliver. But, more than a dozen GOP senators–many of whom are facing their own re-elections back home–are skipping the festivities.

Of the 54 Republican senators, 16 have announced they won't be going to Cleveland and six more have yet to make a final decision.

It's a highly unusual year with more than a dozen lawmakers missing out on what is typically a major event for incumbent senator. It had been 16 years since Sen. Roy Blunt (R-MO) missed a GOP convention, McClatchy reported in May. But with a tough election back home and public association with the party's presidential nominee considered by many to be a liability, Blunt along with a larger contingent of senators are staying away.

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