STATE POLLING
New polls today from New Hampshire (Clinton +4), Michigan (Clinton +5), Colorado (Clinton +6), Florida (Clinton +2), Virginia (Clinton +6), California (Clinton +26), Missouri (Trump +10), South Carolina (Trump +4), two from Pennsylvania (Clinton +6 and Clinton +3), and two from North Carolina (Clinton +2 and Clinton +1).
With the exception of Missouri, today was all good news for Team Clinton. The polling reaction from Monday's night debate appears to support the view by the vast majority of media outlets and scientific polls that Clinton easily "won" the debate. Trump has been in damage control ever since, and appears to be damaging himself even more instead of putting a bad performance behind him.
Clinton is holding her "blue wall" of reliably Democratic states and being competitive in all of the traditional battleground states, plus ones (like Georgia and Arizona) that are new to battleground status this year. Much to the dismay of Republicans in general and Trump strategists in particular, who know they need to flip key states like Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida, and Virginia if they have any hope of taking the White House.
Another interesting bit of info is this little nugget unearthed by the New York Times: Google searches for voter registration have surged in Hispanic areas of the country. This demographic, which historically has had very low turnout in previous elections, is apparently getting much more active this time around. The main reason appears to be Trumps continued attacks on Venezuelan born former Miss Universe Alicia Machado for being "too fat" and other less savory accusations. In states like Arizona and Florida, with large Hispanic populations, this could be the swing votes needed to put Clinton over the top in those battleground states.
One fairly big change to the map today: North Carolina switches from "leaning Republican" to "leaning Democrat", which means Clinton now has a projected overall lead of 316 to 222. Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
Likely Republican
Maine (CD2): Trump up by 6.9%
Nebraska (CD2): Trump up by 6%
Georgia: Trump up by 5%
Leaning Republican
Arizona: Trump up by 3.3%
Ohio: Trump up by 2.4%
Iowa: Trump up by 2.3%
Nevada: Trump up by 1.4%
Leaning Democrat
North Carolina: Clinton up by 0.1%
Florida: Clinton up by 0.6%
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 2.6%
Colorado: Clinton up by 2.8%
Likely Democrat
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 4.1%
Virginia: Clinton up by 4.2%
Wisconsin: Clinton up by 4.2%
Michigan: Clinton up by 4.5%
New Mexico: Clinton up by 4.9%
Minnesota: Clinton up by 6%
Here are the State Polling Averages for all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
NATIONAL POLLING
No new national polls today.
The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 3.4%.
TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES
Associated Press -- Trump steps up attacks on ex-Miss Universe
Donald Trump is doubling down on his attacks on a former Miss Universe. Trump unleashed a series of tweets early Friday saying that rival Hillary Clinton had shown bad judgment in using Alicia Machado "as a paragon of virtue."
Buzzfeed -- Trump Allies Focus On ‘90s Bill Clinton Sex Scandals
Allies of Donald Trump have a new line in the days since the debate: that Trump is a paragon of graciousness for not attacking Hillary Clinton on the debate stage for her husband’s affairs.
CNN -- Howard Stern: Trump backed Iraq War in 2002
Howard Stern confirmed Tuesday that Donald Trump expressed support for the Iraq War on his radio show in 2002 -- a claim Trump has denied despite a show recording of him offering at least measured backing.
Fox News -- Trump Foundation reportedly doesn't have proper paperwork to solicit money
Donald Trump’s foundation reportedly never obtained proper certification that the state of New York requires before charities can ask for money from the public. New York law states that any charity that asks for more than $25,000 per year needs to obtain a special registration before soliciting offers.
Politico -- Trump rejects accusations of breaking U.S. embargo in Cuba
Donald Trump on Thursday denied doing business in Cuba following a report accusing the Republican nominee of violating the U.S. embargo on the island. "I never did business in Cuba. There’s this guy who has very bad reputation as a reporter. You see what his record is, he wrote something about me in Cuba,” Trump said in an interview with NH1.
The Hill -- Trump 'very proud' of role in birther theory
Donald Trump on Thursday said he was "very proud" of his questioning of President Obama's birthplace and forcing the White House to release the president's birth certificate. "Well I'm the one that got him to put up his birth certificate," the GOP presidential nominee told NH1's Paul Steinhauser in a Thursday interview.
No comments:
Post a Comment