STATE POLLING
New polls today from Oklahoma (Trump +15), Pennsylvania (Clinton +8), and Minnesota (Clinton +6). Plus a new series of Ipsos polls from last week that were just released for Virginia (Clinton +10), Texas (Trump +23), Pennsylvania (Clinton +3), Ohio (Clinton +4). New York (Clinton +24), Illinois (Clinton +15), Florida (Trump +4), and California (Clinton +38).
A mixed bag this morning. Trump has righted the ship in Texas and expanded his lead in a bit in Florida, while Clinton has moved Virginia out of battleground status, and reversed the trend in Ohio, bringing that state back to a virtual tie.
However, Pennsylvania has moved back into "leaning Democrat" status, and there's new concern in Democratic circles that once reliable Minnesota is trending closer than expected. Overall, last week was not a good week at all, polling-wise, for Team Clinton.
Currently, Clinton has a 229 to 156 "safe" electoral lead over Trump with a projected overall lead of 293 to 245. Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
Leaning Republican
South Carolina: Trump up by 5.3%
Georgia: Trump up by 3.8%
Iowa: Trump up by 3.1%
Arizona: Trump up by 2.3%
Florida: Trump up by 1.7%
Ohio: Trump up by 0.3%
Leaning Democrat
Colorado: Clinton up by 0.7%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 1.1%
Nevada: Clinton up by 1.9%
Wisconsin: Clinton up by 2.2%
Michigan: Clinton up by 4.4%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 5%
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 5.7%
Here are the State Polling Averages for all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
NATIONAL POLLING
New poll today from Fox News that has Clinton up by one over Trump, 41% to 40%, with Johnson at 8% and Stein at 3%.
Interestingly enough, when only registered voters are polled (as opposed to likely voters), Clinton's lead jumps up to 4%. This just goes to show how important the "get out the vote" teams for both campaigns will be this November.
The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 1.6%, trending downwards.
TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES
Associated Press -- Clinton campaign concedes work needed to woo young voters
Hillary Clinton is wooing younger voters in Philadelphia as her campaign acknowledges they need to do more to get millennials on board. Campaign communications director Jennifer Palmieri says Clinton will use the Monday morning event at Temple University to "speak directly to millennial voters about how they have the most at stake in this election."
Buzzfeed -- RNC Chair: Candidates Who Don’t Back Trump Could Be Punished In The Future
Republican National Committee chair Reince Priebus said on Sunday that primary candidates who have not made good on their pledge to support Donald Trump could be punished by the party if they decide to run again in the future.
CNN -- Reality check: Chris Christie's whoppers on the birther issue
It was early Sunday morning when many Americans were having their breakfasts that New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie appeared on CNN's "State of the Union" with Jake Tapper -- serving up two whoppers.
Fox News -- Many voters want new leadership, but still uneasy about Trump
Half of likely voters think the country is in such deep trouble that a completely different kind of leader is needed to come in and shake things up. That sounds like good news for Donald Trump. Yet the latest Fox News Poll also finds a majority of voters don’t think Trump is qualified to be president.
Politico -- Clinton rips Trump for birther ‘prejudice and paranoia'
Hillary Clinton took aim at Donald Trump on Saturday for his involvement in the birther movement, working to keep the GOP nominee’s role in the conspiracy theory on voters’ minds the day after the GOP nominee attempted to officially take it off the table.
The Hill -- Trump: Saturday attacks show Clinton won't keep US safe
Donald Trump said that a trio of attacks across the U.S. on Saturday prove that President Obama's and Hillary Clinton's policies can't protect Americans. "Under the leadership of Obama & Clinton, Americans have experienced more attacks at home than victories abroad. Time to change the playbook!" he wrote.
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