Thursday, September 1, 2016

67 Days Till Election Day: New polls from Arizona, North Carolina, New York, Wisconsin

STATE POLLING

New polls today from Arizona (Trump +4), North Carolina (Trump +2), New York (Clinton +18),and two from Wisconsin (Clinton +5 and +3).

After riding high for nearly a month after the convention, Team Clinton is starting to come back towards the ground with another batch of polls showing her "safe" electoral lead continuing to slip (Wisconsin joining the "lean" list today, for example), and several of the battleground races tightening up.

That said, she still has a very strong projected lead, but with still over two months to go and three debates, there is still an awful lot of politicking to do between now and Election Day.

Currently, Clinton has a 210 to 145 "safe" electoral lead over Trump with a projected overall lead of 334 to 182 with 22 too close to call.

Here are the current averages from the battleground states:

Leaning Republican

South Carolina: Trump up by 5.4%
Arizona: Trump up by 2.5%
Maine (CD2): Trump up by 1.8%
Georgia: Trump up by 1.2%

Virtually Tied

Missouri: Trump up by 0.9%
Iowa: Clinton up by 0.6%
Nevada: Clinton up by 0.9%

Leaning Democrat

North Carolina: Clinton up by 1.2%
Ohio: Clinton up by 3.4%
Michigan: Clinton up by 4.5%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 5%
Florida: Clinton up by 5.1%
Wisconsin: Clinton up by 5.1%
New Mexico: Clinton up by 5.2%
Oregon: Clinton up by 5.2%
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 5.5%

Here are the State Polling Averages for all 50 states and the District of Columbia.

NATIONAL POLLING

New polls today from Economist/YouGov, Retuers/Ispos, and Fox News, all of which show a tightening of the national polling picture.

The Economist has Clinton up by 5, 42% to 37% over Trump, with Johnson at 7% and Stein at 3%, Reuters has Clinton up by 2%, 40% to 38% over Trump, with Johnson at 6% and Stein at 2%, while Fox News has Clinton up by 2% as well, 41% to 39% over Trump, with Johnson at 9% and Stein at 4%.

The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 4.7%, a full point drop from yesterday's average.

TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES

Associated Press -- For Donald Trump, a day of political whiplash on immigration

For weeks, Donald Trump flirted with a self-described "softening" of the hard-line immigration policies that propelled him to the Republican nomination, raising the hopes of party officials, some Hispanic leaders and skeptical voters unnerved by his presidential candidacy.

CNN -- Trump declares 'no amnesty' in hard-line immigration speech

The Republican presidential nominee on Wednesday re-upped the harsh immigration rhetoric that electrified his primary campaign, vowing "no amnesty" for undocumented migrants living in the United States and promising to build a "beautiful" and "impenetrable" border wall that Mexico would pay for -- hours after that country's president vowed that it wouldn't.

Fox News -- Trump doubles down on 'impenetrable, physical' wall 

Donald Trump, fresh off a hastily-arranged visit to Mexico where he met with the country's president, doubled down Wednesday night on his vow to build a "great wall" along the southern border -- and make Mexico pay for it -- while outlining a more focused mission for the deportation force he's promised to create

Huffington Post -- Supreme Court Denies North Carolina’s Plea To Restore Swath Of Voting Restrictions

The Supreme Court on Wednesday rejected a last-ditch request from North Carolina to reinstate a controversial set of voting restrictions that would have taken effect in the lead-up to the November election.

Politico -- Bill Clinton used tax dollars to subsidize foundation

Bill Clinton's staff used a decades-old federal government program, originally created to keep former presidents out of the poorhouse, to subsidize his family’s foundation and an associated business, and to support his wife’s private email server, a POLITICO investigation has found.

The Hill -- Trump: 'Maybe we can deport Clinton'

Donald Trump joked about deporting Hillary Clinton during a fiery speech outlining his immigration policies on Wednesday night. Trump, the Republican nominee, had just finished laying out the ways he plans to crack down on the violent criminal illegal immigrants he wants to round up and deport.
 

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