STATE POLLING
We're back after a very interesting holiday vacation, with lots of new polling information for today's update. We have polls from New Hampshire (Clinton +11), Virginia (Clinton +1), Iowa (Trump +5), North Carolina (Clinton +4), Florida (Clinton +3), Ohio (Trump +3), Texas (Trump +17), Illinois (Clinton +13), New York (Clinton +22), California (Clinton +39), and two from Pennsylvania (Clinton +8 and Clinton +6).
And with all the new polls and a whole lot of number crunching, the end result is that New Hampshire moves to "solid Democratic" while Virginia returns to "leaning Democratic" on the map.
Currently, Clinton has a 201 to 145 "safe" electoral lead over Trump with a projected overall lead of 346 to 192.
Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
Leaning Republican
South Carolina: Trump up by 5.4%
Arizona: Trump up by 2.5%
Maine (CD2): Trump up by 1.8%
Georgia: Trump up by 1.2%
Missouri: Trump up by 0.9%
Leaning Democrat
Iowa: Clinton up by 0.3%
Nevada: Clinton up by 0.9%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 1.6%
Ohio: Clinton up by 2.6%
Michigan: Clinton up by 4.4%
Florida: Clinton up by 5.1%
Wisconsin: Clinton up by 5.1%
New Mexico: Clinton up by 5.2%
Oregon: Clinton up by 5.2%
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 5.2%
Virginia: Clinton up by 5.8%
Here are the State Polling Averages for all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
NATIONAL POLLING
New polls from CNN/ORC and IBD/TIPP. CNN has Trump up by two, 45% to 43% over Clinton, with Johnson at 7% and Stein at 2%, while IBD has Clinton and Trump tied at 39% each, with Johnson at 12% and Stein at 3%.
Both of these polls show the national race tightening quite a bit, while the state-by-race shows Clinton maintaining a very strong lead with just nine weeks to go. Take a guess which numbers will get all the headlines today? And a tight national race is actually a good thing for both candidates, as it keeps their supporters involved and more inclined to vote. The news media also likes a good horse race, so don't expect to see a whole lot of stories about the electoral map projections until we get much closer to Election Day.
The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 2.7%, trending sharply downwards.
TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES
Associated Press -- Trump and Clinton turn to battleground states in the South
With Labor Day behind them, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are pushing ahead in top presidential battlegrounds in the South. Trump is set to campaign in Virginia and North Carolina on Tuesday, two critical states in his path to the presidency. Clinton is campaigning in Florida in search of an advantage in the nation's largest swing state.
CNN -- Trump mistakes 'confidential' and 'classified' in Clinton attack
Donald Trump criticized Hillary Clinton on Sunday for not knowing what the "(C)" label meant when it was used on her State Department emails. But the Republican presidential nominee apparently doesn't know what it means either.
Fox News -- Clinton suggests Russia using cyberattacks to influence White House race
Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton said Monday she was “really concerned” about recent reports and other indications that the Russian government might be trying to interfere with the White House race.
Huffington Post -- Clinton Rejects Invitation To Mexico Following Trump Debacle
U.S. Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton said on Monday she will not accept an invitation by Mexico’s president, Enrique Pena Nieto, for a visit after rival Donald Trump created what she called a “diplomatic incident” in his foray there.
Politico -- Trump earns endorsement of 88 retired generals, admirals
Donald Trump earned the endorsement of 88 retired generals and admirals in an open letter released Tuesday, as the Republican nominee looks to solidify support in the military community against Hillary Clinton in November.
The Hill -- Trump says voters ‘don’t care’ if he releases taxes
In an interview with ABC News, GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump said people don’t care if he releases his tax returns. “I think people don't care,” Trump said Monday afternoon in Ohio. He has refused to make the paperwork public because he is under audit by the IRS.
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