STATE POLLING
New polls today from Iowa (Trump +7), Georgia (Trump +7), Florida (Trump +1), Maryland (Clinton +33), California (Clinton +16), Ohio (Trump +3), Nevada (Trump +1), Washington (Clinton +12), Arizona (Trump +5), Wyoming (Trump +35), two each from Colorado (Clinton +2 and Clinton +7), Virginia (Clinton +6 and Clinton +7), and three North Carolina, (Trump +4, tied, Trump +2).
We're obviously at that point in the campaign where not only do we get a lot of polls most every day, we also often get multiple polls from the same states. Including a first today: three polls from the same state. Which, considering it's North Carolina, makes sense with everyone trying to get a handle on what is happening there.
The takeaways from this batch of polls has good news for both campaigns. Trump is definitely riding the momentum wave at the moment, making gains in Iowa, Georgia and North Carolina, and being highly competitive in Florida and Nevada. Clinton is picking up steam in Virginia, keeping her West Coast blue wall safely intact, and staying ahead in Colorado.
There were also polls from the two most partisan states in the union: Wyoming (GOP +29) and Maryland (DEM +26). Protip to polling firms: save your money and don't worry about those two. The chances that Wyoming goes blue or Maryland goes red is about the same chance as you have of winning the megapower lottery...if you never buy a ticket.
Currently, Clinton has a 195 to 126 "safe" electoral lead over Trump with a projected overall lead of 301 to 237. Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
Leaning Republican
Maine (CD2): Trump up by 5.5%
Texas: Trump up by 5.1%
Iowa: Trump up by 3.8%
Georgia: Trump up by 3%
Ohio: Trump up by 2.5%
Arizona: Trump up by 2%
North Carolina: Trump up by 1.8%
Nevada: Trump up by 1.2%
Leaning Democrat
Florida: Clinton up by 0.6%
Colorado: Clinton up by 3.6%
Wisconsin: Clinton up by 4%
New Mexico: Clinton up by 4.5%
Michigan: Clinton up by 4.9%
Virginia: Clinton up by 4.9%
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 5.7%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 5.9%
Here are the State Polling Averages for all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
NATIONAL POLLING
New poll today from the Associated Press that has Clinton ahead by six, leading Trump 45% to 39%, with Johnson at 9% and Stein at 2%.
The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 3.3%, trending upwards.
TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES
Associated Press -- Advisers warn Trump not to get riled by Clinton in debate
Donald Trump's advisers are urging him to keep his cool during next week's presidential debate and resist attempts by Hillary Clinton to provoke him with questions about his business record, wealth or controversial comments about minorities.
Buzzfeed -- Trump, Supporters Express Support For Stop-And-Frisk
Donald Trump didn’t mention his support for a national stop-and-frisk policy during a campaign rally Thursday, sticking instead to his support of police and the need for law and order as part of his pitch to black and Latino voters.
CNN -- Newest absentee, registration numbers promising for Clinton
Early numbers from Iowa and North Carolina, where voters are already casting absentee ballots, look promising for Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton. And Democrats have also improved their position on the voter rolls in Colorado and Florida, outpacing Republicans in the past month, according to a CNN analysis of newly released statistics.
Fox News -- Federal immigration bosses in OT push to swear in new citizens
An internal Obama administration email shows immigration officials may be literally working overtime to swear in as many new “citizen voters” as possible before the Nov. 8 presidential election, a powerful lawmaker charged Thursday.
Politico -- Judge rejects New York Times request to unseal Trump divorce file
A New York judge has rejected a media request to make public the contents of a 25-year-old court file on Donald Trump's divorce from wife Ivana, saying the courts have no business deciding what information could be useful to voters.
The Hill -- Trump questions how much Clinton has helped women, children
Donald Trump questioned Hillary Clinton's record on women's and children's issues Thursday, saying she hasn't done enough with the time she has been in public office. "My opponent Hillary likes to say that for decades she's been fighting for women, that she's been fighting for children," Trump said at a rally in Chester Township, Pa.
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