Thursday, September 22, 2016

46 Days Till Election Day: New polls from Virginia, Illinois, Louisiana, Nevada, Ohio, New Hampshire, Wisconsin, North Carolina

STATE POLLING

New polls today from Virginia (Clinton +7), Illinois (Clinton +6), Louisiana (Trump +16), Nevada (Trump +3), Ohio (Trump +5), New Hampshire (Clinton +9), two from Wisconsin (Clinton +7 and Clinton +3), and two from North Carolina (Trump +5 and Trump +2)

Another big batch of polls, another day of mixed news for the campaigns. It's like déjà vu all over again, to quote the late, great Yogi Berra.

And yet, with all the polling and the differences in numbers and so forth, the only real change to the map today is North Carolina flipping from leaning Democrat to leaning Republican.

Currently, Clinton has a 195 to 126 "safe" electoral lead over Trump with a projected overall lead of 301 to 237. Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
 
Leaning Republican

Maine (CD2): Trump up by 5.5%
Texas: Trump up by 5.1%
Iowa: Trump up by 2.4%
Ohio: Trump up by 2.3%
Georgia: Trump up by 2.2%
Arizona: Trump up by 1.7%
Nevada: Trump up by 0.5%
North Carolina: Trumo up by 1%

Leaning Democrat

Florida: Clinton up by 1%
Wisconsin: Clinton up by 4%
Colorado: Clinton up by 4.5%
New Mexico: Clinton up by 4.5%
Michigan: Clinton up by 4.9%
Virginia: Clinton up by 5%
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 5.7%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 5.9%

Here are the State Polling Averages for all 50 states and the District of Columbia.

NATIONAL POLLING

New polls today from NBC News/Wall Street Journal and Economist/YouGov. The NBC/WSJ poll has Clinton ahead by six, 43% to 37% over Trump, with Johnson at 9% and Stein at 2%. The Economist poll has Clinton up by just two, 40% to 38% over Trump, with Johnson at 7% and Stein at 2%/

The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 2.5%, trending upwards.

TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES

Associated Press -- Trump calls for racial unity, embraces 'stop and frisk

Lamenting a "lack of spirit" between whites and blacks, Donald Trump encouraged racial unity on Thursday even as he called for one of the nation's largest cities to adopt "stop and frisk" policing tactics that have been widely condemned as racial profiling by minority leaders.

Buzzfeed -- Trump Appears With Pastor Who Questioned If Obama Was Muslim

Less than a week after finally admitting President Obama was born in the United States, Donald Trump on Wednesday appeared with an Ohio-based pastor and adviser to his campaign who this year questioned Obama’s faith and declined to answer in an interview if the president was American-born.

CNN -- Trump on birtherism: 'We wanted to get on with the campaign'

Donald Trump suggested Wednesday that his statement late last week that President Barack Obama was born in the US was motivated by politics, not by a genuine change of heart.

Fox News -- Clinton's campaign manager takes heat over awkward interview

Clinton campaign manager Robby Mook had an interview to forget Wednesday morning, when he struggled to answer questions about his candidate's policy on Syria during an interview for MSNBC's Morning Joe.

Politico -- Trump's campaign paid his businesses $8.2 million

Donald Trump’s presidential campaign has paid his family's businesses more than $8.2 million, according to a POLITICO analysis of campaign finance filings, which reveals an integrated business and political operation without precedent in national politics.

The Hill -- Trump: 'We'll see what's going on' with Clinton at debate

Donald Trump on Thursday said he is hoping the first presidential debate will be cordial. “We’ll stay cool,” he said on Fox News’s Fox & Friends. “We’ll see what’s going on with her," he added. "Because there’s something going on that a lot of people are trying to figure out.”
 

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