Saturday, September 24, 2016

44 Days Till Election Day: New polls from Georgia, Arkansas

STATE POLLING

New polls today from Georgia (Trump +6) and Arkansas (Trump +21).

No real surprises here. Trump still isn't completely out of the woods in Georgia, but the recent polling shows the Peach State reasserting itself as part of the Southern Red Wall. And the only surprise out of Arkansas is one would thought Clinton would be doing just a bit better in a state where she was once first lady.

No changes to the map today. Currently, Clinton has a 195 to 126 "safe" electoral lead over Trump with a projected overall lead of 301 to 237.

Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
 
Leaning Republican

Maine (CD2): Trump up by 5.5%
Texas: Trump up by 5.1%
Georgia: Trump up by 3.9%
Iowa: Trump up by 3.8%
Ohio: Trump up by 2.5%
Arizona: Trump up by 2%
North Carolina: Trump up by 1.8%
Nevada: Trump up by 1.2%

Leaning Democrat

Florida: Clinton up by 0.6%
Colorado: Clinton up by 3.6%
Wisconsin: Clinton up by 4%
New Mexico: Clinton up by 4.5%
Michigan: Clinton up by 4.9%
Virginia: Clinton up by 4.9%
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 5.7%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 5.9%

Here are the State Polling Averages for all 50 states and the District of Columbia.

NATIONAL POLLING

New polls today from McClatchy/Marist (Clinton +6) and Gravis (Clinton +4).

McClatchy has Clinton leading Trump 45% to 39%, with Johnson at 10% and Stein at 4%, while Gravis has Clinton leading Trump 44% to 40%, with Johnson at 5% and Stein at 2%.

The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 3.9%, trending upwards.

TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES

Why yes, there is a trend today...

Associated Press -- Cruz throws his support to Trump's campaign at last

Donald Trump says he's "greatly honored" to receive the endorsement of defeated rival Ted Cruz, not that Cruz is using that word when acknowledging that he will vote for the Republican presidential nominee.

Buzzfeed -- Ted Cruz Endorses Donald Trump

Two months after withholding his endorsement from Donald Trump at the Republican convention, Ted Cruz announced on his Facebook page on Friday that he is endorsing Trump.

CNN -- Ted Cruz endorses Donald Trump

Ted Cruz endorsed Donald Trump for the presidency Friday afternoon, a stunning turn of events after a contentious primary filled with nasty personal attacks and a dramatic snub at the Republican National Convention.

Fox News -- Cruz says he will vote for Trump

Sen. Ted Cruz announced Friday that he will vote for ex-primary foe Donald Trump in November and urged others to do the same, reversing course to back the Republican nominee two months after he stunned the party brass by withholding his endorsement at the Cleveland convention.

Politico -- Cruz: I'm voting for Trump

Ted Cruz on Friday said he would vote for Donald Trump for president and that he would encourage others to do the same, reversing months of opposition to his bitter primary rival.

The Hill -- Why Cruz flipped on Trump

Sen. Ted Cruz surprised and dismayed many conservatives Friday when he announced his support for Donald Trump. It was a move that, only a short while before, one prominent Cruz ally had said would make no sense.
 

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