STATE POLLING
Yes, the headline is correct: we have new polls for all 50 states. Most of them twice, in fact. The Washington Post used SurveyMonkey to poll all 50 states, while Reuters used Ipsos to poll 40 of them. But wait, there's more...as they say on TV. Maryland (Clinton +29), Missouri (Trump +9), and Idaho (Trump +21) were also polled by other polling forms.
In other words...a lot of math was done today.
And because of the massive amount of new data, the prediction map has changed somewhat. Oregon has moved to "solid Democrat", Colorado, Maine and New Hampshire have moved to "leaning Democrat", Iowa has flipped to "leaning Republican", and Missouri has moved to "solid Republican".
Currently, Clinton has a 192 to 155 "safe" electoral lead over Trump with a projected overall lead of 341 to 197. Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
Leaning Republican
South Carolina: Trump up by 3.7%
Georgia: Trump up by 2.7%
Arizona: Trump up by 1.7%
Iowa: Trump up by 1.4%
Leaning Democrat
Ohio: Clinton up by 0.1%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 2.4%
Michigan: Clinton up by 2.7%
Wisconsin: Clinton up by 3.2%
Nevada: Clinton up by 3.5%
Florida: Clinton up by 3.7%
Maine: Clinton up by 3.9%
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 4.4%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 5.4%
Colorado: Clinton up by 5.9%
Here are the State Polling Averages for all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
NATIONAL POLLING
New polls today from NBC News and CNN that clearly show the volatility of the national popularity contest amongst the candidates. NBC has Clinton up by 4, leading Trump 41 to 37, with Johnson at 12% and Stein at 4%. Conversely, CNN has Trump up by 2, leading Clinton 45 to 43, with Johnson at 7% and Stein at 2%.
And if you look back over the past week or two, you'll notice that Clinton and Trump's numbers have stayed pretty much the same: Clinton the low to mid-40's, Trump in the upper-30's to low-40's. The real volatility has been the support for Johnson and Stein, showing how difficult it is to poll for third-party candidates.
The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 2.2%. trending downward.
TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES
Associated Press -- Trump faces national security test with speeches, forum
Republican Donald Trump is unveiling a plan for a major increase in defense spending as he works to convince skeptics in both parties that he's ready to lead the world's most powerful military.
CNN -- Retired general calls Trump's 30-day ISIS order 'sophomoric'
A retired army general is slamming Donald Trump's remarks that as President he will ask the US military to come up with a plan within one month to defeat ISIS.
Fox News -- Trump: latest FBI document dump 'disqualifying' for Clinton
Donald Trump said Tuesday that recently released FBI documents proved that Hillary Clinton "fails to meet the minimum standard for running for public office," as both presidential candidates tried to appeal to military and retired voters in Southern swing states.
Huffington Post -- Trump Held Fundraiser For Bondi After She Dropped Investigation
In March 2014, Donald Trump opened his 126-room Palm Beach resort, Mar-a-Lago, for a $3,000-per-person fundraiser for Pam Bondi. The Florida attorney general, who was facing a tough re-election campaign, had recently decided not to investigate Trump University.
Politico -- GOP: Trump won't cost us Congress
Returning to Washington after their long August recess, Republican lawmakers are cautiously optimistic that GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump can remain disciplined enough over the next two months to keep them from getting blown out — and give them a fighting chance to hold the Senate and protect their sizable House majority.
The Hill -- Clinton pulls punches with GOP Congress
Hillary Clinton has largely gone easy on the Republican-led Congress even as she has relentlessly attacked Donald Trump. It’s a strategy aimed at wooing anti-Trump Republicans, but one that dismays some Democrats who think a more pointed attack from Clinton would help the party win back the Senate majority and pick up a lot of seats in the House.
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