STATE POLLING
New polls today from Ohio (Trump +5), Maine CD1 (Clinton +18), Maine CD2 (Trump +10), Kansas (Trump +12), Texas (Trump +6), Virginia (Clinton +6), and California (Clinton +25).
With less than eight weeks to go until Election Day, more and more voters are in the process of making up their minds (or at least admitting such to pollsters). And from our tracking, it appears a decent percentage of those formerly undecideds have been going for Trump. The question being, will it be enough to shift the core states he needs to claim a victory come November?
With the latest round of polling, there are three changes to our electoral map: Maine CD2 has moved from "leaning" to "solid" Republican (Maine CD1 remains solid Democrat, perfectly showcasing the current urban/rural split between the two parties), Ohio has switched from leaning Democrat to leaning Republican (though still a virtual toss-up), and Virginia has moved from "leaning" to "solid" Democrat.
The troublesome news from all of this, for Trump, is that while he is starting to find his political legs amongst Ohio voters -- which he absolutely has to win -- he continues to lose ground in the other "must-have" states, watching as Virginia continues to slip away from him. And there other signs of worry: Texas continues to creep ever closer to lean status, which is all but unthinkable for one of the (formerly) reddest states in the union.
As it stands now, Clinton has a 249 to 156 "safe" electoral lead over Trump with a projected overall lead of 293 to 245. This, by the way, is the first time since we started tracking this election that Clinton has dropped below 300 in our overall projection.
Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
Leaning Republican
South Carolina: Trump up by 5.3%
Georgia: Trump up by 3.1%
Arizona: Trump up by 2.3%
Iowa: Trump up by 2%
Ohio: Trump up by 0.7%
Florida: Trump up by 0.2%
Leaning Democrat
North Carolina: Clinton up by 2%
Wisconsin: Clinton up by 2.2%
Nevada: Clinton up by 2.7%
Colorado: Clinton up by 2.8%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 5%
Here are the State Polling Averages for all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
NATIONAL POLLING
No new polls today.
The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 2.5%.
TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES
Associated Press -- Trump says Clinton lacks policies. Seriously?
Republican Donald Trump has rolled out a new attack line against Hillary Clinton as they enter the final stretch of the presidential race, and it's a head-turner. His claim: that his Democratic rival has been running a policy-free campaign, lacking specific proposals.
Buzzfeed -- New York Attorney General Opens Investigation Into Trump Foundation
The investigation follows reports that Donald Trump's charity purchased gifts for the businessman, documented donations that didn't exist, and registered other irregularities.
CNN -- Colin Powell: Trump is 'an international pariah
Leaked emails from former Secretary of State Colin Powell show him strongly criticizing Donald Trump, labeling him a "national disgrace and an international pariah."
Fox News -- Obama hits campaign trail for Clinton amid rough patch
President Obama returned Tuesday to the campaign trail to help fellow Democrat Hillary Clinton through arguably the rockiest stretch of her White House campaign, brushing aside the controversies that have dogged her candidacy and assuring voters she's “fit” for office -- as she spends a second day off the trail on doctor's orders.
Politico -- Gary Johnson takes out full-page ad to get into first debate
Libertarian presidential nominee Gary Johnson and running-mate Bill Weld have a proposal for the panel in charge of general election debates: Put a third podium on stage, let Johnson debate, and if his ticket doesn't meet subsequent criteria for debates the Libertarian ticket won't make a peep.
The Hill -- Supporters say Clinton must shake secrecy
Hillary Clinton’s allies are urging her to be more transparent in the wake of her most recent health scare from dehydration and pneumonia. A wobbly, overheated Clinton was caught on video being helped into a van by Secret Service agents after leaving a Sept. 11 memorial in New York, an image that has dominated the news cycle for the last two days and could do lasting damage to her presidential hopes.
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