Sunday, October 23, 2016

15 Days Till Election Day: New poll from Michigan

STATE POLLING

New poll today from Michigan (Clinton +5).

Yep, that's it, just one state. And we're not really sure what to make of this poll, either. The polling firm, Marketing Resource Group, only rates a C+ from Nate Silver, with an 11% error margin and only a 17% success rate for calling elections. And even if their poll is right on the money, Michigan is still safely in the "Solid Democrat" column.

No changes to the map today. Currently, Clinton has a projected overall lead of 322 to 187. Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
 
Likely Republican

Nebraska (CD2): Trump up by 6%
Texas: Trump up by 4.4%

Leaning Republican

Maine (CD2): Trump up by 3.6%
Iowa: Trump up by 3.6%
Utah: Trump up by 3.2%
Georgia: Trump up by 2.9%

Tied

Arizona
Ohio

Leaning Democrat

Nevada: Clinton up by 2%
Florida: Clinton up by 2.2%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 2.9%

Likely Democrat

Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 5.2%
Colorado: Clinton up by 5.5%
Minnesota: Clinton up by 6%
Wisconsin: Clinton up by 6%
New Mexico: Clinton up by 6.4%

Here are the State Polling Averages for all 50 states and the District of Columbia.

NATIONAL POLLING

No new national polls today.

The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 7%.

TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES

Associated Press -- Trump's lawsuit threat against accusers overshadows agenda

Donald Trump is laying out an ambitious agenda for his first 100 days as president but pointedly noting that he will find time to sue the numerous women who have accused him of groping and other unwanted sexual behavior.

CNN -- Trump Jr.: father's 2005 hot mic comments are 'a fact of life'

Donald Trump Jr. says conversations like the one his father had in 2005 where he boasted about forcing himself on women and grabbing their genitals are "a fact of life."

Fox News -- Trump opposes AT&T-Time Warner deal

Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump said Saturday he opposes the $85 billion merger between AT&T and Time Warner, arguing the major media deal would result in “too much concentration of power” and vowing if elected to undo the deal.

Politico -- Log Cabin Republicans board votes against endorsing Trump

The board of the nation’s largest group of LGBT Republicans has voted to not endorse Donald Trump, in a contentious decision that did not reflect the preference of many of its chapters.

The Hill -- Could President Hillary heal a divided nation?

If she wins the White House, Hillary Clinton will face the daunting task of healing the national divisions exposed by a vicious campaign season. Whether Clinton could knit the nation back together is an open question.
 

1 comment:

  1. http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/clinton-vaults-double-digit-lead-boosted-broad-disapproval/story?id=42993821

    Released just 9 minutes ago, new ABC news poll, Clinton leads Trump by 12 points, 50 to 38, with Johnson at 5 and Stein at 3.

    Keep up the great work.

    ReplyDelete