STATE POLLING
New polls today from Florida (Trump +2), North Carolina (Clinton +1), Nevada (tied), Texas (Trump +7), Montana (Trump +16), and two from New Hampshire (Clinton +9 and Clinton +4).
Another status quo day. Florida, North Carolina and Nevada all remain very close, New Hampshire appears to be solidifying for Clinton, and some slight sense of historical normalcy is returning to Texas (though it remains dark pink on the map).
What has been interesting is we haven't seen any (legitimate) polling from Ohio in a number of days, and the average of the last ten polls has the state exactly tied. Hopefully, we'll get some new polling info from there within the next day or so.
And, by way of explanation, my comment about "legitimate" polls is related to a recent rash of polls from unknown or previously unheard of organizations that all contain results way outside the statistical norm. This is, unfortunately, not that unheard of, and is an obvious attempt to skew the poll averaging sites to make a race and/or candidate appear to be more competitive.
What is unfortunate is the dubious polls are favoring the same candidate who has been claiming for some time that polling is fraudulent and not to be believed. Perhaps he's correct, just not in the way he's been implying.
And if your'e ever curious about a specific organization, Nate Silver has a handy webpage that ranks all the polling firms by accuracy and political lean. In the most recent case, the "shocking new poll results" came from a company that isn't even on Silver's list. And it's a long list.
No changes to the map today. Currently, Clinton has a projected overall lead of 333 to 187. Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
Likely Republican
Nebraska (CD2): Trump up by 6%
Texas: Trump up by 5.3%
Leaning Republican
Maine (CD2): Trump up by 3.6%
Iowa: Trump up by 3.6%
Utah: Trump up by 3.2%
Georgia: Trump up by 2.9%
Tied
Ohio
Leaning Democrat
Arizona: Clinton up by 0.5%
Florida: Clinton up by 15%
Nevada: Clinton up by 2.9%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 3%
Likely Democrat
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 5.2%
Colorado: Clinton up by 5.5%
Minnesota: Clinton up by 5.6%
Wisconsin: Clinton up by 6%
New Mexico: Clinton up by 6.4%
Here are the State Polling Averages for all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
NATIONAL POLLING
New polls today from the Associated Press (Clinton +14), ABC News (Clinton +9), Fox News (Clinton +3), Reuters (Clinton +4), and USA Today (Clinton +9).
Five polls, all showing Clinton ahead, but ranging from 3 to 14 points in the lead. The bad news: someone is really far off. The good news: national polling doesn't matter other than to give a general snapshot of the overall race.
The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 8.5%.
TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES
Associated Press -- Police investigate destruction of Trump's Hollywood star
Los Angeles police are investigating a pre-dawn attack that destroyed Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump's star on the Hollywood Walk of Fame less than two weeks before the election.
CNN -- New DC routine: Wake up, search WikiLeaks, wince
It's shaping up to be a new part of the morning routine for DC's elite: Grab coffee, skim the news and type your name into WikiLeaks to see what damage the day's hacked emails might hold for you.
Fox News -- Trump touts 'new deal for black America'
Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump unveiled what he called a “New Deal for black America” and revealed a handful of new proposals aimed at revitalizing impoverished urban areas on Wednesday in hope to sway minority voters.
Politico -- Cruz: GOP may block Supreme Court nominees indefinitely
In a vintage return to his confrontational style, Sen. Ted Cruz indicated that Republicans could seek to block a Democratic president from filling the vacant Supreme Court seat indefinitely.
The Hill -- Clinton faces new challenges on ObamaCare
Responding to the uproar over ObamaCare premium hikes, Hillary Clinton on Tuesday promised: “We’re going to make changes to fix problems like that.” The question is: What changes could actually get through Congress?
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