Wednesday, October 19, 2016

19 Days Till Election Day: New polls from Texas, Nevada, North Carolina, Colorado, Wisconsin, New Jersey, Oregon, Massachusetts

STATE POLLING

New polls today from Texas (Trump +3), Nevada (Clinton +7), North Carolina (Clinton +2), Colorado (Clinton +5), Wisconsin (Clinton +8), New Jersey (Clinton +11), Oregon (Clinton +7), and Massachusetts (Clinton +26).

The emergency sirens and bright flashing red lights spinning at the RNC offices this morning can only mean one thing: the GOP is now legitimately in danger of losing Texas.

Yes, you read that right, Texas.

Trump's numbers in the Lone State State have been dropping steadily over the past month, and today's poll is the lowest ever. Right now, the state is still dark pink on our map, but there has to be a lot of worry in GOP and RNC circles about this trend.

As for the rest of the polls, lots of good news for Team Clinton, especially the strong numbers in Nevada, Colorado, and Wisconsin.

If this were any other campaign, I'd already be calling the race for her and asking her staff what the curtain measurements are in the Oval Office. However, this has been anything but a normal campaign, and there's still tonight's final debate. But it certainly does not look good for Team Trump, and hasn't for several weeks now.

No changes to the map today. Currently, Clinton has a projected overall lead of 340 to 198. Here are the current averages from the battleground states:

Likely Republican

Nebraska (CD2): Trump up by 6%
Maine (CD2): Trump up by 5.3%
Texas: Trump up by 5.2%
Georgia: Trump up by 5.2%

Leaning Republican

Iowa: Trump up by 3.3%
Arizona: Trump up by 1.3%

Leaning Democrat

Ohio: Clinton up by 1.1%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 2.4%
Florida: Clinton up by 3.1%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 3.3%
Nevada: Clinton up by 3.3%

Likely Democrat

Colorado: Clinton up by 5.5%
Minnesota: Clinton up by 6%
New Mexico: Clinton up by 6%
Wisconsin: Clinton up by 6.3%

Here are the State Polling Averages for all 50 states and the District of Columbia.

NATIONAL POLLING

New polls today from Bloomberg (Clinton +9), Fox News (Clinton +6), and NBC News (Clinton +6).

The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 7.9%.

TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES

Associated Press -- Clinton, Trump set for last debate as ugly race nears finish

Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump's ugly and acrimonious battle for the White House is barreling toward the end, with the candidates taking the debate stage Wednesday night for one final primetime showdown.

CNN -- What to watch for in the last Clinton-Trump face-off

For Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, it's time to begin the closing arguments. Both nominees enter Wednesday's presidential debate -- the final showdown of the election season -- with historically high unfavorability ratings, and need to convince undecided voters why the country would be worse off with their opponent in the White House.

Fox News -- Trump tensions with party causing headaches down ballot 

Ardent Donald Trump supporters are expected to turn out Election Day in large numbers, but their support for GOP congressional candidates -- particularly those distancing themselves from the party's presidential nominee -- appears increasingly uncertain.

Politico -- RNC members agree with Trump: It's rigged

Donald Trump is spending the final weeks of his presidential bid declaring he's the victim of an unprecedented vote-rigging conspiracy meant to elect Hillary Clinton. Many top Republican Party officials agree.

The Hill -- Trump seeks game-changer in last debate

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are set to face a huge national audience together for the last time before Election Day. The stakes could hardly be higher Wednesday in Las Vegas, where the two major-party presidential nominees will meet for their third and final debate.
 

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