STATE POLLING
New polls today from Arizona (Trump +1), Florida (Clinton +3), North Carolina (Clinton +7), Minnesota (Clinton +8), Indiana (Trump +11), Alabama (Trump +14), Arkansas (Trump +23), South Dakota (Trump +7), and Idaho (Trump +29).
Less than two weeks to go, and we see a tale of two very different paths to victory. On the Democratic side, between "solid" and "likely" states, Hillary Clinton already has more than the 270 electoral votes she needs to claim the White House. On the Republican side, with Florida and North Carolina slipping away, and Virginia and Pennsylvania likely out of reach, the path looks all but non-existent for Donald Trump.
Adding salt to Trump's electoral map wounds, Arizona is now an out-and-out battleground that no one at the RNC ever thought would be in play. It's getting so gloomy for the Republican side, even South Dakota (!) only has a single digit lead for Trump. By comparison, Romney won the state in 2012 by just under twenty points. To be up only 7% in a state that has gone Democratic just three times since 1900 is bad no matter how you look at it.
But it's not all bad news. Trump and the GOP still have the Deep South and most of the Midwest. Which is most likely were the majority of viewers of the upcoming "Trump News Network" will be coming from.
One change to the map today, Arizona has moved from "tied" to "leaning Democrat". Currently, Clinton has a projected overall lead of 333 to 187. Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
Likely Republican
Nebraska (CD2): Trump up by 6%
Texas: Trump up by 4.4%
Leaning Republican
Maine (CD2): Trump up by 3.6%
Iowa: Trump up by 3.6%
Utah: Trump up by 3.2%
Georgia: Trump up by 2.9%
Tied
Ohio
Leaning Democrat
Arizona: Clinton up by 0.5%
Florida: Clinton up by 2.6%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 3.1%
Nevada: Clinton up by 3.5%
Likely Democrat
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 5.2%
Colorado: Clinton up by 5.5%
Minnesota: Clinton up by 5.6%
Wisconsin: Clinton up by 6%
New Mexico: Clinton up by 6.4%
Here are the State Polling Averages for all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
NATIONAL POLLING
New polls today from ABC News and NBC News.
ABC News has Clinton up +12, leading Trump 50% to 38%, with Johnson at 5%, and Stein at 2%. Meanwhile, NBC News shows the race much closer, with Clinton up +5, leading Trump 46% to 41%, with Johnson at 7%, and Stein at 3%.
To say it's unusual at this point of the campaign season for two of the most prestigious news organizations, who have decades of polling experience behind them, to be seven points apart is a bit of an understatement. As it is, the current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 7.2%.
TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES
Associated Press -- Trump touts hotel as Pence heads to Utah in waning days
Donald Trump is taking a break from campaigning Wednesday to formally open his new hotel in Washington, while dispatching his running mate to play political defense in Utah — which hasn't backed a Democrat for president in 52 years.
CNN -- Republicans go on offense over Obamacare
Obamacare's woes are back -- just two weeks before Election Day. The government said Monday that premiums for Obamacare's benchmark plan are set to rise an average of 22% next year.
Fox News -- Trump cuts off fundraising events for Republican Party
Donald Trump's campaign has ended fundraising events meant to support the Republican Party's get-out-the-vote efforts in next month's elections.
Politico -- Trump campaign turns infomercial
Donald Trump has less than two weeks left in his presidential campaign, but his closing argument sounds as much about his business interests as his electoral ones.
The Hill -- Senior House Republicans fighting for their lives
Two weeks ahead of the Nov. 8 elections, a handful of hardened House Republicans find themselves in a rare position: They’re fighting for their political lives.
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