Wednesday, October 12, 2016

26 Days Till Election Day: New poll from Wisconsin

STATE POLLING

New poll today from Wisconsin (Clinton +9).

It does seem strange at this stage in the race to have a day with just one poll, but that merely means everyone is out there doing three- to five-day polling cycles since Sunday night's debate. I try not to rely on my not-so-trusty crystal ball, but I have a strong feeling we're going to get deluged with polls over the next two days.

As for the one poll we have in today, Team Clinton is continuing to have a very good week, with Wisconsin getting bluer by the day. Meanwhile, Trump is "taking off the shackles" and denouncing House Speaker Paul Ryan, who represents Wisconsin's 1st District and is still quite popular in the state. Going after the native son isn't likely to turn things around for Trump in the Badger State, especially not this late in the game.

Currently, Clinton has a projected overall lead of 340 to 198. Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
 
Likely Republican

Maine (CD2): Trump up by 6.9%
Nebraska (CD2): Trump up by 6%
Georgia: Trump up by 5%

Leaning Republican

Iowa: Trump up by 3.3%
Arizona: Trump up by 1.4%

Leaning Democrat

Nevada: Clinton up by 1%
Ohio: Clinton up by 1%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 1.9%
Florida: Clinton up by 2.2%

Likely Democrat

Colorado: Clinton up by 4.2%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 4.8%
Michigan: Clinton up by 6%
Minnesota: Clinton up by 6%
New Mexico: Clinton up by 6%
Wisconsin: Clinton up by 6%
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 6.9%

Here are the State Polling Averages for all 50 states and the District of Columbia.

NATIONAL POLLING

New poll today from The Atlantic that has Clinton up by 11, leading Trump 49% to 38% in a head-to-head matchup.

The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 7.9%, trending upwards.

TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES

Associated Press -- Unshackled, Trump unleashes aggressive attacks on own party

The "shackles" gone, Donald Trump stepped up his fierce attacks on his own party leaders, promising to teach Republicans who oppose him a lesson and to fight for the presidency "the way I want to."

CNN -- Donald Trump's GOP civil war

Donald Trump is tearing the Grand Old Party apart. The tension that has simmered in the Republican Party for years -- shutting down the government and nearly bringing the nation to default -- escalated into an outright civil war Tuesday.

Fox News -- Trump rips Ryan, 'disloyal' Republicans for shunning his campaign

Donald Trump lashed out Tuesday at House Speaker Paul Ryan and others in the so-called Republican establishment for distancing themselves from his campaign over lewd comments he made about women in a decade-old tape.

Politico -- Republicans tell Trump to quit claiming rigged election

It’s not just the Democrats who are frustrated by Donald Trump’s “rigged election” talk. Republicans have started warning their increasingly ostracized nominee to stop stoking his supporters with claims that the 2016 election will be stolen, daring him to show proof or put a lid on it.

The Hill -- Unshackled Trump poses threat to Ryan

Donald Trump’s flailing presidential campaign has become a threat to Paul Ryan.
Just weeks before the elections, Trump is training his fire on the Republican House Speaker after Ryan essentially conceded that the outsider GOP nominee had no chance of winning the White House next month.
 

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