Sunday, October 30, 2016

Countdown To Election Day: New polls from Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, Nevada, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Minnesota

STATE POLLING

New polls today from Florida (Clinton +1), Ohio (tied), North Carolina (Clinton +3), Nevada (Clinton +2), Wisconsin (Clinton +6), Pennsylvania (Clinton +6), and Minnesota (Clinton +10).

With the exception of Ohio, Clinton is ahead in all of today's polls, but by much smaller margins than even just a week ago. Because, as has been said many many times before, a week in politics is an eternity, and everyone today seems focused on yet another Clinton email kerfluffle.

Whether this will have any effect on the raced depends largely on whether there is actually any fire to all the smoke...and even then, with early voting well underway and an intensely partisan makeup of supporter for each candidate, chances are anything short of an email offering to sell the Washington Monument to Iran will have little actual effect on the election.

As is stands, Florida has moved from "tied" to "leaning" Democrat by the thinnest of margins,. Currently, Clinton has a projected overall lead of 333 to 205.

Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
 
Likely Republican

Nebraska (CD2): Trump up by 6%
Texas: Trump up by 5.3%

Leaning Republican

Maine (CD2): Trump up by 3.6%
Utah: Trump up by 3.2%
Iowa: Trump up by 2.4%
Ohio: Trump up by 1.4%
Georgia: Trump up by 1.3%

Leaning Democrat

Florida: Clinton up by 0.1%
Arizona: Clinton up by 0.5%
Nevada: Clinton up by 1.2%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 3%

Likely Democrat

Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 5.3%
Colorado: Clinton up by 5.7%
New Mexico: Clinton up by 5.8%
Minnesota: Clinton up by 6.2%
Wisconsin: Clinton up by 6.4%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 6.5%
 
Here are the State Polling Averages for all 50 states and the District of Columbia

NATIONAL POLLING

New polls today from ABC News (Clinton +2) and IDB/TIPP (Clinton +4).

The current cumulative polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 5.4%.

TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES

Associated Press -- Clinton pushes back against 'unprecedented' new FBI review

Hillary Clinton lashed out Saturday at the FBI's handling of a new email review, leading a chorus of Democratic leaders who declared the bureau's actions just days before the election "unprecedented" and "deeply troubling."

CNN -- Comey notified Congress of email probe despite DOJ concerns

Attorney General Loretta Lynch and Deputy Attorney General Sally Yates disagreed with FBI Director James Comey's decision to notify Congress about his bureau's review of emails potentially related to Hillary Clinton's personal server, law enforcement officials familiar with the discussion said.

Fox News -- FBI revisiting Clinton emails just latest in long history of 'October Surprises'

We’ve seen this all before. Everyone is apoplectic about how crazy the presidential campaign is. How crazy the congressional campaigns are. And then the dramatic FBI email news just days before the election.

Politico -- Democrats declare open season on Jim Comey

Hillary Clinton and her aides and allies forcefully criticized FBI Director James Comey on Saturday, demanding that he release more information about the bureau’s discovery of Clinton-related emails and criticizing him for bad timing.

The Hill -- Justice Dept. warned FBI against letter on Clinton emails

FBI Director James Comey went against the wishes of Attorney General Loretta Lynch when he sent a letter to lawmakers Friday notifying them that the agency was reviewing new emails “pertinent” to the investigation into Hillary Clinton’s private email server.
 

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