Yes, there are so many polls out today, that we had to break them down into battleground and non-battleground categories.
From the battleground states, we have new polls today from Nevada (tied), Arizona (Trump +1), Georgia (Trump +1), Florida (Clinton +3), New Hampshire (Clinton +3), North Carolina (Clinton +3), Pennsylvania (Clinton +5), New Mexico (Clinton +5), Colorado (Clinton +7), and two from Iowa (tied, Trump +3).
Breaking down the new polls, the Wild West looks to be living up to its reputation, as Nevada, Arizona and New Mexico all appear to be very close. Add in Utah, which has been polling very close in a three-way race, along with a still-competitive Colorado, and it could be a very close finish out on the frontier.
Down South, to no surprise, Florida and North Carolina will be going down to the wire. What is surprising is that Georgia remains very close. The generally Republican outer suburbs of Atlanta may be the deciding factor for the Peach State.
And what's going on in New Hampshire? Clinton has gone from a +15 poll to a +3 poll in just the past few weeks. Those four electoral votes look to be a tougher fight than Clinton had originally expected. Same thing is going, in reverse, in Iowa, as the Trump camp must be wondering what happened to their once steady lead in the Hawkeye State.
We also have new polls from Idaho (Trump +19), Arkansas (Trump +16), Indiana (Trump +14), Alabama (Trump +12), Missouri (Trump +11), Alaska (Trump +12), Connecticut (Clinton +13), Delaware (Clinton +16), Illinois (Clinton +17), Hawaii (Clinton +18), California (Clinton +23), District of Columbia (Clinton +82), and two from Virginia (Clinton +12, Clinton +7).
Nothing all that unusual here: Trump is leading where Republicans generally lead, Clinton is leading where Democrats generally lead. It is nice, however, to get some new polls from Alaska, Hawaii and the District of Columbia. The results are what we expected, it's just that they don't get polled very often, and we like having fresh data.
Three changes to the map today: Missouri moves from "likely" to "solid" Republican, Florida moves from "leaning" Republican to "tied", and New Hampshire moves from "solid" to "leaning" Democrat. Currently, Clinton has a projected overall lead of 304 to 205.
Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
Likely Republican
Nebraska (CD2): Trump up by 6%
Texas: Trump up by 5.3%
Leaning Republican
Maine (CD2): Trump up by 3.6%
Utah: Trump up by 3.2%
Iowa: Trump up by 2.4%
Ohio: Trump up by 1.7%
Georgia: Trump up by 1.3%
Tied
Florida
Leaning Democrat
Arizona: Clinton up by 0.5%
Nevada: Clinton up by 1.6%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 2.9%
Likely Democrat
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 5.5%
Minnesota: Clinton up by 5.6%
Colorado: Clinton up by 5.7%
New Mexico: Clinton up by 5.8%
Wisconsin: Clinton up by 6%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 6.5%
Here are the State Polling Averages for all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
New poll today from ABC News that has Clinton up +4. leading Trump 48% to 44%, with Johnson at 4%, and Stein at 1%.
The current cumulative polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 6.1%.
TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES
Associated Press -- Clinton tries to quell resurgent email issue late in race
For more than a year, Hillary Clinton has been a reluctant participant in the email controversy that has dogged her campaign, responding defensively to inquiries — and often only when there's a political imperative to do so.
CNN -- The bizarre day that blunted Clinton's good mood
illary Clinton was riding high. Then Anthony Weiner resurfaced. A string of strong swing state polls, an expanding battleground map and the end of the presidential debates had Clinton -- and her aides -- feeling good about the final days of the campaign.
Fox News -- FBI reopens Clinton probe after new emails found in Anthony Weiner case
Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton called on the FBI Friday to release all information in its renewed investigation into her use of a private server while secretary of state after discovering new emails – apparently during the probe of former Rep. Anthony Weiner’s sexting – in a stunning turn of events just days before the presidential election.
Politico -- Comey's disclosure shocks former prosecutors
James Comey's surprise announcement that investigators are examining new evidence in the probe of Hillary Clinton's email server put the FBI director back under a harsh spotlight, reigniting criticism of his unusual decision to discuss the high-profile case in front of the media and two congressional committees.
The Hill -- Clinton demands 'full and complete facts' from FBI
Hillary Clinton called on the FBI to release more information about newly uncovered emails connected to the investigation into her private server, addressing the issue for the first time at a press conference.
No comments:
Post a Comment