Monday, October 3, 2016

35 Days Till Election Day: New poll from New Mexico

STATE POLLING

One new poll today, from New Mexico (Clinton +4).

No real surprise here. Clinton has been leading steadily in New Mexico for several months, if never getting much more than a 4 or 5 point lead.

No changes to the map today. Currently, Clinton has a projected overall lead of 322 to 216. Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
 
Likely Republican

Maine (CD2): Trump up by 6.9%
Nebraska (CD2): Trump up by 6%
Georgia: Trump up by 5%

Leaning Republican

Arizona: Trump up by 3.3%
Ohio: Trump up by 2.4%
Iowa: Trump up by 2.3%

Leaning Democrat

North Carolina: Clinton up by 0.1%
Nevada: Clinton up by 0.6%
Florida: Clinton up by 1.7%
Pennsylvania: Clinton up by 2.6%
Colorado: Clinton up by 2.8%

Likely Democrat

Virginia: Clinton up by 4.2%
Wisconsin: Clinton up by 4.2%
New Mexico: Clinton up by 4.4%
Michigan: Clinton up by 4.8%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 5.3%
Minnesota: Clinton up by 6%

Here are the State Polling Averages for all 50 states and the District of Columbia.

NATIONAL POLLING

No new national polls today.

The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 3.1%.

TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES

Associated Press -- Trump has a challenging week with a tax revelation

Ever defiant, Donald Trump and his Republican allies embraced a report that said the New York businessman may not have paid federal income taxes for nearly two decades after he and his companies lost nearly $916 million in a single year.

Buzzfeed -- Inside Donald Trump’s Surveillance Operations

The suburban house on Water Mark Place in Sterling, Virginia, doesn’t look like a Donald Trump residence: no classical columns, no gold accents. But sources say it has one feature, common to many Trump properties, which opens a window onto the candidate’s worldview: an extensive and closely-monitored surveillance system.

CNN -- Trump running out of time as controversies pile up

Donald Trump's tax controversy and his self-destructive lack of discipline threaten to drain the Republican nominee of something he can't afford: time.

Fox News -- Christie defends Trump's leaked tax return, says 'no apologies'

New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, a top Donald Trump adviser, on Sunday dismissed a news report that showed the Republican presidential nominee reported a $916 million loss on his 1995 federal tax return, saying that the report showed nothing “outside the law,” despite the “big, splashy headline.”

Politico -- Giuliani: Trump 'better for the United States than a woman'

Donald Trump surrogate Rudy Giuliani on Sunday suggested that a man such as Donald Trump would be a better president "than a woman." "Don’t you think a man who has this kind of economic genius is a lot better for the United States than a woman, and the only thing she’s ever produced is a lot of work for the FBI checking out her emails?"

The Hill -- Trump's taxes bump Miss Universe from headlines

he spotlight shifted on Sunday to Donald Trump's tax returns, after a report surfaced showing the GOP nominee could have legally avoided paying federal income tax for up to 18 years. The New York Times report quickly bumped the controversy surrounding his treatment of former Miss Universe Alicia Machado from the headlines.
 

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