Saturday, August 27, 2016

72 Days Till Election Day: New poll from Florida

STATE POLLING

New poll today from Florida (Clinton +2). This is second poll from the Sunshine State since the Clinton +14 polls released by Saint Leo University. In the first, Trump was up +2, in today's, Clinton is up +2. Combined with the recent polls prior to the SLO poll, it's obvious that the +14 result was an extreme outlier and, as such, has been removed from our statistical baseline.

Currently, Clinton has a 260 to 145 "safe" electoral lead over Trump with a projected overall lead of 334 to 176 with 28 too close to call.

Here are the current averages from the battleground states:

Leaning Republican

South Carolina: Trump up by 4.7%
Missouri: Trump up by 3.2%
Arizona: Trump up by 2.8%
Maine (CD2): Trump up by 1%

Virtually Tied

Georgia: Trump up by 0.6%
Iowa: Clinton up by 0.3%
Nevada: Clinton up by 0.7%

Leaning Democrat

North Carolina: Clinton up by 1.6%
Florida: Clinton up by 2.3%
Ohio: Clinton up by 3.1%
New Mexico: Clinton up by 5.3%
Connecticut: Clinton up by 5.8%

Here are the State Polling Averages for all 50 states and the District of Columbia.

NATIONAL POLLING

No new polls today.

The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 5.7%.

TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES

Associated Press -- Ex-wife says Trump campaign CEO made anti-Semitic remarks

An ex-wife of Donald Trump's new campaign CEO, Stephen Bannon, said Bannon made anti-Semitic remarks when the two battled over sending their daughters to private school nearly a decade ago, according to court papers reviewed Friday by The Associated Press

CNN -- Doctor: I wrote Trump's bill of health in 5 minutes

The doctor who has produced the only public medical record about Donald Trump during his presidential campaign reportedly said he spent only five minutes writing it.

Fox News -- Clinton's full State Dept. schedule won't be released until after Election Day

Seven months after a federal judge ordered the State Department to begin releasing monthly batches of the detailed daily schedules showing meetings by Hillary Clinton during her time as secretary of state, the government told The Associated Press it won't finish the job before Election Day.

Huffington Post -- Hillary Clinton Is Winning The Ad War — And Americans Have Noticed

Hillary Clinton’s massive lead over Donald Trump on ad spending hasn’t gone unnoticed by the American public. Forty-seven percent of Americans polled in a new HuffPost/YouGov survey say that they’ve seen more ads from Clinton during the last month than they have from Trump.

Politico -- Trump fights breaking out across college campuses

Michael Straw, a senior at Penn State University, returned to campus this week, put on a crisp blue suit, and walked into a Trump buzzsaw. The president of the school’s chapter of College Republicans had a sense of what he was in for.

The Hill -- Clinton, Trump sharpen attacks

Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump have sharpened their rhetoric on race as an already negative presidential race threatens to reach previously unseen levels.
 

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