Saturday, August 20, 2016

79 Days Till Election Day: No new polls

STATE POLLING

No new state polls today. 
Currently, Clinton has a 256 to 139 "safe" electoral lead over Trump with a projected overall lead of 334 to 176 with 28 too close to call. 

Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
  
Leaning Republican

South Carolina: Trump up by 5.8%
Utah: Trump up by 4.3%
Missouri: Trump up by 4.2%
Arizona: Trump up by 1.6%
Maine (CD2): Trump up by 1%

Virtually Tied

Georgia: Trump up by 0.6%
Iowa: Clinton up by 0.4%
Nevada: Clinton up by 0.7%

Leaning Democrat

Ohio: Clinton up by 2.1% 
North Carolina: Clinton up by 3.2% 
Florida: Clinton up by 4.3% 
New Mexico: Clinton up by 4.5%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 5.1%
Connecticut: Clinton up by 5.8% 

NATIONAL POLLING

No new national polls today. 
The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 5.5%.

TOP POLITICAL STORIES

Trump Campaign Chairman Paul Manafort Resigns

(CNN) -- Donald Trump's campaign chairman Paul Manafort has resigned from his position on the campaign, the Republican presidential nominee said in a statement Friday.

"This morning Paul Manafort offered, and I accepted, his resignation from the campaign," Trump said. "I am very appreciative for his great work in helping to get us where we are today, and in particular his work guiding us through the delegate and convention process. Paul is a true professional and I wish him the greatest success."

With just under three months to go until Election Day, Manafort's departure reflects the shifting power centers on the Trump campaign: After consolidating influence and discarding with Trump's campaign manager Corey Lewandowski, Manafort has now found himself on the outs after Trump elevated two different aides to senior positions on Tuesday: Breitbart News chief Steve Bannon as campaign CEO and Kellyanne Conway as campaign manager.

FBI, DOJ Looking at Manafort in Ukraine Investigation

(The Hill) -- The Department of Justice and the FBI are looking at Paul Manafort as part of a broad investigation into alleged corruption in Ukraine, according to CNN.

Manafort, who resigned on Friday as Donald Trump's campaign manger, is not the only focus of the probe.

The investigation is instead broadly examining whether U.S. corporations and financial institutions had been used to aid former Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych, who was driven out of office, CNN reports.

Manafort worked for Yanukovych’s Party of Regions, though much of his activities are not publicly known. He has said the work did not trigger disclosure under the U.S. foreign lobbying law, the Foreign Agents Registration Act (FARA).

Trump Predicts He Can Win 95 Percent of the Black Vote

(Politico) -- Donald Trump promised Friday night that if elected president, he will win 95 percent of the African-American vote in his reelection bid.

Renewing his effort to reach out to black voters at a rally Friday evening, Trump suggested that Democratic politicians that overwhelmingly govern in America’s inner cities have failed African-Americans. Trump told the Dimondale, Michigan, crowd that “we can never fix our problems by relying on the same politicians who created our problems in the first place. A new future requires brand-new leadership.”

“You're living in poverty, your schools are no good, you have no jobs. Fifty-eight percent of your youth is unemployed. What the hell do you have to lose?” Speaking before another largely-white audience in a town whose population is 93 percent white, Trump said, “And at the end of four years, I guarantee you that I will get over 95 percent of the African-American vote. I promise you. Because I will produce.”

Another Deez Nuts Unlikely Under New FEC Crackdown

(Des Moines Register) -- The Federal Election Commission (FEC) is hoping to prevent another Deez Nuts-esque candidate from appearing on the ballot slips.

A 15-year-old Iowan made national headlines last year by filing paperwork for candidacy with the FEC under the name "Deez Nuts" – a pseudonym for Brady Olsen of rural Wallingford, Ia.

The paperwork, a FEC Form 2 Statement of Candidacy, was submitted and signed by Olsen was supposed to verify that the information provided is “true, correct and complete” and warns that “false, erroneous, or incomplete information” may lead to penalties under federal law.

The FEC, hoping to combat this issue, released a statement Thursday regarding the creation of a interim procedure staff to verify all information during the 2016 election cycle that looks "unlawfully false or fictitious."
  

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