STATE POLLING
New polls from Florida (Clinton +5), North Carolina (Clinton +9), Virginia (Clinton +12) and Colorado (Clinton +12).
Apparently, Hillary Clinton's campaign strategy of "let Donald Trump get all the headlines" seems to be working well for her, as the latest round of polls are nothing but good news for the Democratic nominee.
She bumps of her lead a bit in Florida (pretty much the ultimate swing state), pads it a bit in North Carolina, and in the big change today, moves Virginia to solid blue with a cumulative lead of 7.1%, while keeping Colorado solidly in her column as well.
As such, Clinton now has a 263 to 139 "safe" electoral lead over Trump with a projected overall lead of 362 to 176. Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
Leaning Republican
Utah: Trump up by 5.5%
South Carolina: Trump up by 4.3%
Missouri: Trump up by 4.1%
Arizona: Trump up by 1.8%
Maine (CD2): Trump up by 1%
Leaning Democrat
Georgia: Clinton up by 1%
Nevada: Clinton up by 1%
Iowa: Clinton up by 1.3%
Ohio: Clinton up by 2.5%
Florida: Clinton up by 2.8%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 3.7%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 4.9%
New Mexico: Clinton up by 5%
NATIONAL POLLING
No new national polls today.
The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading by 6.5%.
TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES
Clinton and Kaine Release New Tax Returns, Pressuring Trump
(New York Times) -- Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Tim Kaine, released a new batch of their own income tax returns on Friday, ratcheting up the pressure on her opponent, Donald J. Trump, to begin making public his own forms.
The newest tax return of Mrs. Clinton and her husband, former President Bill Clinton, showed an adjusted gross income of $10.6 million for 2015, a large drop from previous years but still enough to place them in the top 0.1 percent of American households.
They paid about $3.6 million in federal taxes for an effective tax rate of about 35 percent. More than half their income came from speeches; Mrs. Clinton also earned $3 million from “Hard Choices,” her memoir of her years as secretary of state.
Trump: If Clinton Wins Pennsylvania, She Cheated
(CNN) -- Donald Trump declared Friday that there's only one way he could lose the state of Pennsylvania: if he's cheated out of it.
"We're going to watch Pennsylvania. Go down to certain areas and watch and study and make sure other people don't come in and vote five times," he said at a rally in Altoona, Pennsylvania. "If you do that, we're not going to lose. The only way we can lose, in my opinion -- I really mean this, Pennsylvania -- is if cheating goes on."
Trump said that Republican leaders in the state "are very concerned" about the possibility of cheating -- adding that "we have to call up law enforcement, and we have to have the sheriffs and the police chiefs and everybody watching."
Trump Backs Off His Backpedal On Obama Terror Claim
(Politico) -- Donald Trump put his foot on the gas pedal again, driving home the accusation he had reversed himself hours earlier that President Barack Obama founded the Islamic State.
Trump had eased off the claim Friday morning, blasting the media for seriously reporting what he suggested was a sarcastic comment. “Ratings challenged @CNN reports so seriously that I call President Obama (and Clinton) ‘the founder’ of ISIS, & MVP,” Trump tweeted. “THEY DON'T GET SARCASM?”
He seemed to revel in the uncertainty his tweet created, boasting nearly 90 minutes later of pundits’ inability to figure him out. “I love watching these poor, pathetic people (pundits) on television working so hard and so seriously to try and figure me out. They can't!” Trump declared.
But during an afternoon rally in Erie, Pennsylvania, Trump said his initial remark wasn’t “that sarcastic, to be honest with you.”
McConnell: Keeping GOP Senate 'Very Dicey'
(CNN) -- Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell is bluntly warning that his party's chances of hanging onto its majority in the Senate this fall are "very dicey."
Speaking at a local Chamber of Commerce event in Middletown, Kentucky on Thursday, McConnell, in video posted by a local news outlet CN/2, didn't specifically link the party's diminishing standing to GOP presidential candidate Donald Trump's slide in both national polls and those in key battleground states.
But the GOP leader said the challenging landscape for Republicans in 2016 was because they are defending more seats than the Democrats. "It's very dicey," McConnell said. "We have, we -- meaning Senate Republicans -- have 24 members up. Our Democratic friends only have 10. So as you can see we were going to be on defense anyway, no matter what was going on at the presidential level."
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