STATE POLLING
New polls today from Florida (Clinton +5), Georgia (Trump +4), and New Hampshire (Clinton +9).
First off, the good news for Donald Trump: he's swung Georgia back from "leaning Democrat" to "leaning Republican" with consecutive +4 polls. The fact that Georgia is pink instead of red on our map is a completely different story, but with the current state of the Trump campaign, any good news is exceedingly welcome.
And then there's the good news for Hillary Clinton: New Hampshire has moved off the battleground map, and while Florida is remaining highly competitive, it is leaning in her favor.
With the change of Georgia and New Hampshire on our map, Clinton now has a 267 to 139 "safe" electoral lead over Trump with a projected overall lead of 346 to 192.
Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
Leaning Republican
Utah: Trump up by 5.5%
South Carolina: Trump up by 4.3%
Missouri: Trump up by 4.1%
Arizona: Trump up by 1.8%
Georgia: Trump up by 1.5%
Maine (CD2): Trump up by 1%
Leaning Democrat
Nevada: Clinton up by 1%
Iowa: Clinton up by 1.3%
Ohio: Clinton up by 2.5%
Florida: Clinton up by 3%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 3.7%
New Mexico: Clinton up by 5%
NATIONAL POLLING
No new national polls today (a bit surprising for a Monday).
The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 6.5%.
TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES
Trump to Lay Out Plan for Combating Radical Islamic Terrorism
(CNN) -- Donald Trump on Monday will lay out his strategy for defeating radical Islamic terrorism, painting the fight as an ideological struggle on par with that of the Cold War.
In Ohio, the Republican presidential nominee will lay out proposals to combat ISIS and prevent terrorist attacks in the US, including banning individuals from countries with heavy terrorist footprints where the US government cannot adequately vet visa applicants and increasing cooperation with willing Middle Eastern allies, a senior Trump campaign official said.
Trump is also set to make clear in his prepared remarks that the US will abandon any ambitions for nation-building or spreading democracy in the Middle East, expanding on his criticism of the Iraq War while on the campaign trail.
RNC Considers Cutting Cash to Trump
(Politico) -- Publicly, Republican Party officials continue to stand by Donald Trump. Privately, at the highest levels, party leaders have started talking about cutting off support to Trump in October and redirecting cash to save endangered congressional majorities.
Since the Cleveland convention, top party officials have been quietly making the case to political journalists, donors and GOP operatives that the Republican National Committee has done more to help Trump than it did to support its 2012 nominee Mitt Romney, and that therefore Trump has only himself and his campaign to blame for his precipitous slide in the polls, according to people who have spoken with Republican leadership.
Sean Spicer, the RNC’s top strategist, on Wednesday made that case to 14 political reporters he convened at the organization’s Capitol Hill headquarters for an off-the-record conversation about the election.
Trump Campaign Manager Linked to $12.7M Ukraine Cash Payment
(New York Times -- On a leafy side street off Independence Square in Kiev is an office used for years by Donald J. Trump’s campaign chairman, Paul Manafort, when he consulted for Ukraine’s ruling political party. His furniture and personal items were still there as recently as May.
And Mr. Manafort’s presence remains elsewhere here in the capital, where government investigators examining secret records have found his name, as well as companies he sought business with, as they try to untangle a corrupt network they say was used to loot Ukrainian assets and influence elections during the administration of Mr. Manafort’s main client, former President Viktor F. Yanukovych.
Handwritten ledgers show $12.7 million in undisclosed cash payments designated for Mr. Manafort from Mr. Yanukovych’s pro-Russian political party from 2007 to 2012, according to Ukraine’s newly formed National Anti-Corruption Bureau. Investigators assert that the disbursements were part of an illegal off-the-books system whose recipients also included election officials.
Trump Adds Eight Women to His Economic Team
(RCP) -- After Hillary Clinton earlier this week mocked Donald Trump’s team of economic advisers as including “six guys named Steve,” the Republican presidential nominee expanded his stable of advisers Thursday by nine people, eight of them women.
“These new members of our team are some of the best economic minds around right now, and they will continue to bring new ideas to our campaign that will strengthen and grow our economy,” Trump said in a statement.
As Clinton suggested, the initial list of Trump’s economic team members, released last week, included only men — six of whom indeed bear names that are variants of “Steve.” Most are wealthy businessmen or investors, and few boast experience as economists or academics.
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