STATE POLLING
New polls from Pennsylvania, two from Georgia (here and here), Nevada, Arizona, Virginia, Missouri, and Oklahoma.
The takeaways from this latest batch of polls basically confirm three things: battleground states remain battleground states, no one is really sure what is going on in Georgia (expect to see a lot of Clinton/Kaine visits there), and if Trump has any chance of winning, he is basically going to have to move to Pennsylvania for the next three months to try and chip away at Clinton's lead there.
Currently, Clinton has a 250 to 148 "safe" electoral lead over Trump with a projected lead of 336 to 192 (with 10 tied). Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
Leaning Republican
Arizona: Trump up by 4.6%
Utah: Trump up by 4.5%
Missouri: Trump up by 4.3%
Georgia: Trump up by 1.9%
Maine (CD2): Trump up by 1%
Virtually Tied
Nevada: Trump up by 0.4%
New Hampshire: Clinton up by 0.2%
Leaning Democrat
Ohio: Clinton up by 1.6%
Iowa: Clinton up by 1.8%
Virginia: Clinton up by 1.8%
North Carolina: Clinton up by 2.7%
Florida: Clinton up by 5%
New Mexico: Clinton up by 5%
NATIONAL POLLING
New polls from CNN/ORC (Clinton +9) and CBS News (Clinton +6) continue to build on the post-convention "bounce" for Clinton.
The last four polls all showed Clinton leading Trump, with each poll showing a larger gap. This trend has reversed the Trump "bounce" from last week and has the needle moving back to the Democrats.
The current composite polling average has Clinton leading by 1%, trending upwards.
TOP POLITICAL HEADLINES
Broad Array of Military Luminaries Condemn Trump Over Attacks On Khan Family
(Washington Post) -- A bipartisan constellation of decorated combat veterans, members of Congress and family members of slain soldiers admonished Donald Trump on Monday for criticizing the Muslim American parents of an Army officer killed in Iraq, threatening to undermine Trump’s support among core Republican voters.
The condemnations by Senate Armed Services Committee Chairman John McCain (R-Ariz.), the Veterans of Foreign Wars, and dozens of veterans and family members of those killed in the line of duty served as the most forceful rebuke yet of the mogul’s comments and his anti-Muslim rhetoric.
The critiques lobbed at Trump on Monday were the latest turns in a bitter exchange that has dominated the presidential race since the close of the Democratic National Convention on Thursday in Philadelphia. It threatens to hurt Trump’s standing among voters he has been aggressively pursuing: those who aren’t fans of Democrat Hillary Clinton and who hold doubts about her record on national security. The standoff has also frayed Trump’s already delicate alliance with GOP leaders.
Americans More Positive About Democratic Than GOP Convention
(Gallup) -- Americans are evenly divided on whether they view the Democratic Party more favorably (44%) or less favorably (42%) after the party's national convention last week. However, their ratings of the Republican Party after the GOP convention two weeks ago were significantly worse, with 35% saying they viewed the party more favorably and 52% less favorably.
The results are based on Gallup polls conducted in the days immediately after each party's convention -- the Republican convention in Cleveland from July 18-21 and the Democratic convention in Philadelphia from July 25-28.
Americans' assessments of the effect of the conventions on their image of each party largely mirror their assessments of how the convention will affect their vote in the 2016 election. By 45% to 41%, Americans say they are more rather than less likely to vote for Hillary Clinton based on what they saw or read about the Democratic convention. In contrast, many more Americans said they were less likely (51%) rather than more likely (36%) to vote for Donald Trump as a result of what they saw or read about the Republican convention.
Trump: I’m Afraid Election Will Be ‘Rigged’
(Yahoo News) -- Donald Trump suggested on Monday that the November election may be “rigged” against him. “I’m afraid the election is going be rigged, I have to be honest,” Trump said at a town hall in Columbus, Ohio.
The Republican nominee pointed to Bernie Sanders’ unsuccessful Democratic primary campaign as an example of elections being rigged. Trump has frequently claimed that Hillary Clinton only won the primary because national Democrats intervened on her behalf.
At his Monday campaign rally, Trump added that the Republican Party could not stop him in the GOP primary because of the margin of victory he racked up. “Poor Bernie. He looks so upset. You know what, he shouldn’t have made a deal,” Trump said, referring to Sanders’ endorsement of Clinton. “I think my side was rigged if I didn’t win by massive landslides.”
Warren Buffett Challenges Donald Trump to Discuss Tax Returns
(CNN) -- Warren Buffett challenged Donald Trump Monday to discuss their tax returns publicly. "I'll bring my tax return. He can bring his tax return...Just let people ask us questions about items on there," Buffett said in his introduction of Hillary Clinton at an Omaha rally. "Nobody is going to arrest us. There are no rules against showing your tax returns."
The Omaha billionaire said he's willing to meet Trump any where and any time before Election Day to let the public inquire about their tax filings. Tax returns reveal a lot more about a person's finances than financial statements do, Buffett said.
Trump has resisted releasing his returns, saying he is being audited by the IRS. This breaks with the longstanding tradition that presidential candidates release at least some recent tax returns. It's also unclear whether Mike Pence, Trump's running mate who is Indiana's governor, will make his returns public.
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