Tuesday, August 23, 2016

76 Days Till Election Day: New polls from Ohio, North Carolina, South Carolina

STATE POLLING

New polls today from Ohio (Clinton +4), North Carolina (Trump +1) and South Carolina (Trump +4). 

A second poll from Ohio in as many days has Clinton steady with a small lead. In other words, if you live in Ohio, expect to keep seeing and hearing a gazillion commercials between now and Election Day as well as having your mailbox all but overrun with political mailers. Of course, Ohioans are used to this, as the Buckeye State has been a swing state for many election cycles now.

Residents in the Carolinas, however, are not as used to such national attention, especially South Carolinians. The two new polls are mixed news for Trump: good news in that they are in his favor, bad news because he simply can't afford the time and money defending formerly solid Republican southern states instead of focusing on flipping some of the Democratic states such as Pennsylvania and Virginia, which are vital to any chance of victory for the GOP nominee.

Currently, Clinton has a 260 to 139 "safe" electoral lead over Trump with a projected overall lead of 334 to 176 with 28 too close to call. 

Here are the current averages from the battleground states:
  
Leaning Republican

Utah: Trump up by 5.2%
South Carolina: Trump up by 4.7%
Missouri: Trump up by 3.8%
Arizona: Trump up by 1.6%
Maine (CD2): Trump up by 1%

Virtually Tied

Georgia: Trump up by 0.6%
Iowa: Clinton up by 0.3%
Nevada: Clinton up by 0.7%

Leaning Democrat

North Carolina: Clinton up by 2.4% 
Ohio: Clinton up by 3.1% 
Florida: Clinton up by 4.1% 
New Mexico: Clinton up by 4.5%
Connecticut: Clinton up by 5.8% 

NATIONAL POLLING

A new poll from NBC News/Survey Monkey has Clinton up +5 over Trump, 43% to 38%, with Johnson at 11% and Stein at 5%.

The current composite polling average in a four-candidate field has Clinton leading Trump by 5.3%.

TOP POLITICAL STORIES

Clinton: Trump Health Allegations A 'Wacky Strategy'

(AP) -- Hillary Clinton is pushing back against charges that she's physically unfit for the White House.

The Democratic presidential candidate said the accusations are part of a "wacky strategy" by GOP rival Donald Trump and an "alternative reality" that's not focused on the kinds of issues that are most important to voters.

"I do feel sometimes like this campaign has entered into an alternative universe," she said in an appearance on ABC's "Jimmy Kimmel Live" taped Monday afternoon. "I have to step into the alternative reality and, you know, answer questions about, am I alive, how much longer will I be alive, and the like."

Clinton said she doesn't question Trump's health — she believes he's "healthy as a horse."

Trump Doubles Down On Deportations

(Politico) -- Donald Trump continued to deny weekend reports that he is reconsidering his plans for mass deportation Monday, repeating that he's intent on getting rid of the "bad people" in this country.

In a prerecorded interview with Fox News' Bill O'Reilly airing Monday night, the Republican nominee again refuted a report by BuzzFeed that he was open to legalization for undocumented immigrants, dismissing it as "false." 

The report came on the heels of newly minted campaign manager Kellyanne Conway giving an interview Sunday morning in which she characterized Trump’s plan to deploy a deportation force as “to be determined.”

The Trump campaign found itself on the defensive Monday, with the nominee flatly denying that he was "flip-flopping" on the issue in an earlier interview with Fox News.

FBI Uncovers 15K Undisclosed Emails in Clinton Probe

(The Hill) -- Hillary Clinton, State Department lawyers confirmed before a federal judge on Monday.

The documents were found during the course of the FBI's investigation into the Democratic presidential nominee's use of a personal email server during her time as secretary of State. The number is almost 50 percent more than the 30,000 work-related documents that Clinton’s lawyers turned over to the State Department in 2014.

The agency has pledged to release the approximately 14,900 documents and State Department lawyers told District Judge James E. Boasberg on Monday that the agency is “prioritizing” the appraisal of the new emails. 

But it remains unsettled whether the full set will be out before the presidential election on Nov. 8. Lawyers for the conservative watchdog group that has demanded the release have accused the agency of slow-walking the production.

Trump Calls For Special Clinton Prosecutor

(CNN) -- Hillary Clinton leads in the polls nationally and in key battleground states, but the flood of stories regarding her private email server and donations to the Clinton Foundation demonstrate the former secretary of state won't be able to completely outrun voter skepticism -- or Donald Trump.

Trump went on offense Monday, using the bulk of a speech in Akron, Ohio, to attack Clinton.

"No issue better illustrates how corrupt my opponent is than her pay for play scandals as secretary of state," Trump said. "I've become increasingly shocked by the vast scope of Hillary Clinton's criminality. It's criminality. Everybody knows it," he said as the crowd erupted in a sea of "Lock her up!" chants.

"The amounts involved, the favors done and the significant numbers of times it was done require an expedited investigation by a special prosecutor immediately, immediately, immediately," Trump said.
  

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